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09.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Municipal de Mosquera
Real Cundinamarca
Match Timeline
Real Santander
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
E. Ibarguen
Real Cundinamarca
🟨
15'
K. Vidal
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
26'
J. Amaya ↔ K. Cuellar
Real Cundinamarca
🟨
36'
Real Santander
Real Santander
🔄
46'
E. Ibarguen ↔ C. Uribe
Real Cundinamarca
🟨
63'
Real Santander
Real Santander
🔄
67'
A. Cano ↔ C. Gomez
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
67'
O. Acosta ↔ B. Castro
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
67'
M. Diaz ↔ D. Tapia
Real Santander
🟨
71'
S. Florez
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
72'
J. Ararat ↔ J. D. Guillen Sanchez
Real Santander
🔄
72'
P. Rodriguez ↔ J. Delgado
Real Santander
🔄
78'
B. Quinonez ↔ C. Rios
Real Cundinamarca
⚽
78'
D. Tapia
Real Santander
🟨
80'
C. Rios
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
80'
B. Roman ↔ J. Carrasco
Real Santander
🔄
80'
J. P. Garcia Habib ↔ J. Ayala
Real Santander
🟨
81'
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cundinamarca
🟨
90+1'
Real Santander
Real Santander
🟨
90+2'
Real Santander
Real Santander

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Santander Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Cundinamarca Win 82.1%
Draw 4.4%
Real Santander Win 13.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cundinamarca1.39
Real Santander0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
W W W W W
10 GF / 3 GA
Real Santander Real Santander
L D D L D
2 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
15
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 26 matches
Real Santander Real Santander 26 matches
Real Cundinamarca Statistic Real Santander
9 Wins 3
9 Draws 10
8 Losses 13
33 Goals For 22
29 Goals Against 41
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
15 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Real Cundinamarca's more proactive style and Real Santander's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Santander. Real Cundinamarca come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Santander having the stronger overall control. Real Cundinamarca arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 36 points compared to Real Santander in 15 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

So far, Real Cundinamarca have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 36 points from 26 matches. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 33:29 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Real Santander Analysis

With 19 points from 26 games and a place of 15, Real Santander still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 22:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Real Cundinamarca won 4 times, Real Santander won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Real Cundinamarca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Real Cundinamarca wins 4, draws 0, Real Santander wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 19 10 8 40:26 14 67
W W W D L
2 38 17 13 8 51:33 18 64
W W D D D
3 38 16 13 9 60:43 17 61
D W D D L
4 36 17 10 9 50:34 16 61
W W D D D
5 36 17 10 9 43:33 10 61
L L D D L
6 36 12 12 12 35:31 4 48
L D D D W
7 30 12 11 7 33:23 10 47
L W D D W
8 36 10 14 12 30:36 -6 44
D W D D D
9 31 10 11 10 34:32 2 41
L W D D L
10 36 10 10 16 44:48 -4 40
D L D W D
11 30 9 8 13 30:40 -10 35
L L L D L
12 30 8 10 12 35:40 -5 34
W L L L D
13 30 8 10 12 24:31 -7 34
W L D W L
14 30 6 9 15 28:44 -16 27
L L W D L
15 30 5 12 13 26:43 -17 27
D W D W L
16 30 5 9 16 20:46 -26 24
L L W D D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)