BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Aflitos
Referee: A. Furtado
Nautico Recife
Match Timeline
São Bernardo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Rodrigo Ferreira
São Bernardo
3'
Vinícius
Nautico Recife
🟨
29'
Alex Alves
São Bernardo
🟨
36'
Dudu Miraíma
São Bernardo
🟨
45+6'
Luiz Felipe
Nautico Recife
🟨
45+6'
Foguinho
São Bernardo
🔄
46'
Juninho ↔ Felipe Saraiva
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Alex Alves ↔ Junior Oliveira
São Bernardo
🔄
46'
Pedrinho ↔ Echapora
São Bernardo
🔄
62'
Luiz Felipe ↔ Samuel Felix
Nautico Recife
64'
Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
VAR
66'
Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
🔄
69'
Daniel Amorim ↔ Pablo Dyego
São Bernardo
🔄
69'
Dudu Miraima ↔ Jemerson
São Bernardo
🔄
73'
Vinicius ↔ Victor Andrade
Nautico Recife
🔄
73'
Derek ↔ Paulo Sergio
Nautico Recife
🔄
73'
Wenderson ↔ Vitinho
Nautico Recife
🟨
77'
Júnior Oliveira
São Bernardo
🟨
77'
Helder Maciel
São Bernardo
81'
Foguinho · Assist: Helder Maciel
São Bernardo
VAR
83'
Foguinho
São Bernardo
🔄
87'
Pedro Vitor ↔ Hugo Sanches
São Bernardo
88'
Pablo Dyego · Assist: Echapora
São Bernardo
🟨
90+8'
Samuel
Nautico Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 40.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
40.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Nautico Recife Win 27.6%
Draw 40.2%
São Bernardo Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nautico Recife0.95
São Bernardo0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WLDWL
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
2
3.25
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 4 matches
São Bernardo São Bernardo 4 matches
Nautico Recife Statistic São Bernardo
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
3 Goals For 4
3 Goals Against 5
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
1 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
3.25 Shots On Goal 4
12.25 Total Shots 11.5
5.75 Corners 5
60.8% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nautico Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and São Bernardo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring São Bernardo.

Nautico Recife Analysis

So far, Nautico Recife have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 6 points from 4 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 3:3 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vinícius (2 goals), Igor Fernandes (1 goals), with creative support from Dodo (1 assists), Yuri (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo sit 14 with 4 points after 4 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 4:5, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Daniel Amorim (1 goals), Para (1 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (1 goals), with creative support from Echapora (1 assists), Fabricio Daniel (1 assists), Lucas Rian (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 1 times, São Bernardo won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (72.4%)
Predicted formations: Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1 / São Bernardo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Nautico Recife wins 1, draws 3, São Bernardo wins 1
Stats
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
São Bernardo São Bernardo
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
13
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
10 Corner Kicks 2
15 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 2
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 5
13 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
419 Total passes 286
355 Passes accurate 224
1.87 expected_goals 1.33
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nautico Recife
Formation
São Bernardo
Muriel Becker
Muriel Becker
Matheus Ribeiro
Matheus Ribeiro
Mateus Silva
Mateus Silva
Igor Fernandes
Igor Fernandes
Yuri
Yuri
Wenderson
Wenderson
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Juninho
Juninho
Dodo
Dodo
Vinicius
Vinicius
Derek
Derek
Alex Alves
Alex Alves
Rodrigo Ferreira
Rodrigo Ferreira
Helder Maciel
🎯
Helder Maciel
Augusto
Augusto
Para
Para
Dudu Miraima
Dudu Miraima
Foguinho
Foguinho
Romisson
Romisson
Daniel Amorim
Daniel Amorim
Pedro Vitor
Pedro Vitor
Pedrinho
Pedrinho
Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Muriel Becker
G
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
25
Mateus Silva
D
23
Igor Fernandes
D
6
Yuri
D
8
Wenderson
↓ 73'
M
27
Luiz Felipe
↓ 62' 🟨 45+6'
M
77
Juninho
↓ 46'
M
10
Dodo
M
7
Vinicius
⚽ 3' ↓ 73'
M
72
Derek
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
55
G. Guruceaga
G
5
Auremir
M
11
Victor Andrade
↑ 73'
F
93
Reginaldo
D
34
Wanderson
D
13
Indio
D
41
Samuel Felix
↑ 62' 🟨 90+8'
M
9
Paulo Sergio
↑ 73'
F
2
Arnaldo
D
98
Felipe Saraiva
↑ 46'
F
22
Vitinho
↑ 73'
M
66
Leo Jance
D
São Bernardo 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Alex Alves
↓ 46' 🟨 29'
G
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
🟨 1'
D
3
Helder Maciel
🎯 81' 🟨 77'
D
97
Augusto
D
6
Para
D
26
Dudu Miraima
↓ 69' 🟨 36'
M
8
Foguinho
⚽ 81' 🟨 45+6'
M
17
Romisson
M
89
Daniel Amorim
↓ 69'
F
11
Pedro Vitor
⚽ 64' ↓ 87'
F
29
Pedrinho
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
Junior Oliveira
↑ 46' 🟨 77'
G
22
Pablo Dyego
⚽ 88' ↑ 69'
F
42
Hyoran
M
77
Marcao Silva
M
31
Lucas Fernandes
M
10
Fabricio Daniel
F
90
Luizao
25
W. Gonzaga
35
Jemerson
↑ 69'
D
19
Neto Costa
F
21
Hugo Sanches
↑ 87'
D
27
Echapora
🎯 88' ↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Nautico Recife
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
16.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
Last matches: São Bernardo
23.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Avai
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
2
2
D
06.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Criciuma
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Juventude
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
CRB
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
1
1
D
12.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Londrina
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Goias
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
1
1
D
H2H: Nautico Recife vs São Bernardo
18.04.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
24.08.25
H2H
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
1
1
D
26.08.23
H2H
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
2
2
D
01.03.23
H2H
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
0
1
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
H2H at home: Nautico Recife
18.04.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
21.04.24
H2H
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
1
1
D
26.08.23
H2H
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
2
2
D
Last matches: São Bernardo
23.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
1
2
L
06.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Criciuma
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
CRB
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
12.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Londrina
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
1
1
D
H2H away: São Bernardo
18.04.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
W
21.04.24
H2H
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
1
1
D
26.08.23
H2H
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
2
2
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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