17.05.2026 14:00
Al Salam Stadium
Referee: M. Osman
National Bank of Egypt
Match Timeline
El Gouna FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
24'
D. A. Mohamed S. E. ↔ A. Gamal
El Gouna FC
⚽
39'
M. Mohsen · Assist: T. Ojo
El Gouna FC
🟨
45+3'
Mostafa El Zenary
National Bank of Egypt
🔄
46'
M. Ashraf ↔ A. Madbouli
National Bank of Egypt
🔄
46'
M. Ibrahim ↔ S. Bouchama
National Bank of Egypt
🔄
46'
A. El Said ↔ R. Salah
El Gouna FC
🟨
54'
Nour El Sayed
El Gouna FC
🔄
63'
T. Ojo ↔ M. Emad
El Gouna FC
🔄
68'
A. Rayan ↔ Oufa
National Bank of Egypt
🔄
68'
Shefo ↔ A. Reda
National Bank of Egypt
🔄
75'
A. Meteb ↔ Y. Annor
National Bank of Egypt
🟨
81'
Abdel Gawad Taalab
El Gouna FC
VAR
89'
Osama Faisal
National Bank of Egypt
🔄
90+3'
↔ M. Metawea
El Gouna FC
🔄
90+3'
A. Taalab ↔ A. Belia
El Gouna FC
⚽
90'
O. Faisal
National Bank of Egypt

National Bank of Egypt vs El Gouna FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
National Bank of Egypt Win 76.2%
Draw 0%
El Gouna FC Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
National Bank of Egypt0.96
El Gouna FC0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt
WWDLW
34 GF / 27 GA
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC
WLDWL
21 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
0.7
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
15
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
4
3.93
Shots on Goal
2.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 30 matches
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 30 matches
National Bank of Egypt Statistic El Gouna FC
10 Wins 8
13 Draws 15
7 Losses 7
34 Goals For 21
27 Goals Against 21
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
15 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 1
10 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 12
3.93 Shots On Goal 2.9
11.73 Total Shots 9.57
4.87 Corners 3.4
56.4% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights National Bank of Egypt's more proactive style and El Gouna FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with National Bank of Egypt expected to line up in 3-4-3 and El Gouna FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward El Gouna FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors El Gouna FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

National Bank of Egypt Analysis

National Bank of Egypt sit 9 with 43 points after 9 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 14:10 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Rayan (11 goals), O. Faisal (8 goals), Y. Wahid (3 goals), with creative support from O. Faisal (3 assists), M. Shalaby (3 assists), A. Rayan (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

El Gouna FC Analysis

So far, El Gouna FC have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 39 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Emad (3 goals), Marwan Mohsen (3 goals), M. El Nahas (2 goals), with creative support from Marwan Mohsen (2 assists), M. El Nahas (2 assists), A. Gamal (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, National Bank of Egypt won 3 times, El Gouna FC won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from National Bank of Egypt's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: National Bank of Egypt 3-4-3 / El Gouna FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: National Bank of Egypt wins 3, draws 7, El Gouna FC wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)