Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nagoya Grampus
18 matches
Machida Zelvia
19 matches
| Nagoya Grampus | Statistic | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 5 | Losses | 3 |
| 31 | Goals For | 25 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 13.56 | Total Shots | 11.67 |
| 5.28 | Corners | 4.17 |
| 52.2% | Ball Possession | 44.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Machida Zelvia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Machida Zelvia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Nagoya Grampus come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 31 points after 18 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a 33:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Y. Yamagishi (10 goals), Y. Kimura (8 goals), Hidemasa Koda (2 goals), with creative support from K. Nakayama (7 assists), Teruki Hara (3 assists), Y. Kimura (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Machida Zelvia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 37 points after 18 matches. The return of 13 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 28:22, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Erik (7 goals), Y. Soma (4 goals), Na Sang-Ho (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Soma (2 assists), Na Sang-Ho (2 assists), H. Shimoda (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 2 times, Machida Zelvia won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Nagoya Grampus
7
8
4
2
1
7
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Nagoya Grampus
Home
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
|