BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Aleman
Nacional Potosí
Match Timeline
The Strongest
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
T. Tobar · Assist: O. Baldomar
Nacional Potosí
23'
A. Torrico · Assist: M. Nunez
Nacional Potosí
🟨
27'
W. Saucedo
The Strongest
45'
J. Arrascaita · Assist: J. Cuellar
The Strongest
50'
A. Estacio
The Strongest
🔄
61'
W. Saucedo ↔ C. Ventura
The Strongest
🔄
61'
J. Cuellar ↔ Saavedra
The Strongest
🔄
63'
A. Torrico ↔ J. Orellana
Nacional Potosí
🟨
71'
P. Azogue
Nacional Potosí
🟨
79'
J. Orellana
Nacional Potosí
🔄
82'
C. Abastoflor ↔ L. Pavia
Nacional Potosí
🔄
82'
T. Tobar ↔ W. Alvarez
Nacional Potosí
🔄
82'
M. Nunez ↔ M. Tomianovic
Nacional Potosí
🔄
82'
J. Arrascaita ↔ G. Sotomayor
The Strongest
83'
D. Lom · Assist: G. Sotomayor
The Strongest
🟨
90+5'
S. Pena
Nacional Potosí
🔄
90+1'
A. Estacio ↔ K. Romay
The Strongest
🔄
90+1'
R. Castro ↔ V. Cuellar
The Strongest

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nacional Potosí Win 42.2%
Draw 13.1%
The Strongest Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional Potosí1.17
The Strongest1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí
WWDLW
21 GF / 23 GA
The Strongest The Strongest
WLDWL
33 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
9
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
10
2.86
Shots on Goal
2.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí 16 matches
The Strongest The Strongest 20 matches
Nacional Potosí Statistic The Strongest
6 Wins 11
3 Draws 6
7 Losses 3
21 Goals For 33
23 Goals Against 19
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
9 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 6
2.86 Shots On Goal 2.86
8.36 Total Shots 10.07
1.93 Corners 3
34.4% Ball Possession 34.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward The Strongest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward The Strongest having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The Strongest carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 23 points while Nacional Potosí sit 7 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Nacional Potosí Analysis

Nacional Potosí are currently 7 in the standings with 15 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

The Strongest Analysis

The Strongest arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 23 points after 11 matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 16:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Potosí won 4 times, The Strongest won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Nacional Potosí's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Nacional Potosí 3-4-2-1 / The Strongest 5-4-1
H2H summary: Nacional Potosí wins 4, draws 4, The Strongest wins 7

Lineups

Nacional Potosí
Formation
The Strongest
P. Galindo
P. Galindo
O. Baldomar
🎯
O. Baldomar
N. Amarilla
N. Amarilla
L. Demiquel
L. Demiquel
A. Torrico
A. Torrico
M. Nunez
🎯
M. Nunez
J. Arce Pari
J. Arce Pari
P. Azogue
P. Azogue
S. Pena
S. Pena
T. Tobar
T. Tobar
C. Abastoflor
C. Abastoflor
L. Banegas
L. Banegas
W. Saucedo
W. Saucedo
M. Chiatti
M. Chiatti
P. Pedraza
P. Pedraza
F. Quaglio
F. Quaglio
J. Welch
J. Welch
R. Castro
R. Castro
A. Estacio
A. Estacio
J. Arrascaita
J. Arrascaita
J. Cuellar
🎯
J. Cuellar
D. Lom
D. Lom
Nacional Potosí 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
P. Galindo
21
O. Baldomar
🎯 18'
3
N. Amarilla
33
L. Demiquel
16
A. Torrico
⚽ 23' ↓ 63'
10
M. Nunez
🎯 23' ↓ 82'
15
J. Arce Pari
18
P. Azogue
🟨 71'
28
S. Pena
🟨 90+5'
9
T. Tobar
⚽ 18' ↓ 82'
27
C. Abastoflor
↓ 82'
Substitutes
1
E. Arauz
22
D. Hoyos
2
R. Avila
8
L. Pavia
↑ 82'
17
A. Garcia
4
A. Patzi
7
M. Solis
19
W. Alvarez
↑ 82'
25
J. Orellana
↑ 63' 🟨 79'
99
D. Villalba
11
M. Tomianovic
↑ 82'
30
Y. Martinez
The Strongest 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Banegas
22
W. Saucedo
↓ 61' 🟨 27'
4
M. Chiatti
3
P. Pedraza
21
F. Quaglio
6
J. Welch
10
R. Castro
↓ 90+1'
17
A. Estacio
⚽ 50' ↓ 90+1'
30
J. Arrascaita
⚽ 45' ↓ 82'
31
J. Cuellar
🎯 45' ↓ 61'
14
D. Lom
⚽ 83'
Substitutes
12
D. Valdivia
7
K. Romay
↑ 90+1'
15
S. Arce
16
V. Cuellar
↑ 90+1'
9
C. Ventura
↑ 61'
19
C. Roca
8
K. F. Salvatierra Flores
26
G. Sotomayor
🎯 83' ↑ 82'
27
Saavedra
↑ 61'
29
Y. Portuncho
36
R. Ribera
37
P. Espiritu
Last matches: Nacional Potosí
25.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
0
2
L
22.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
3
0
W
16.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
ABB
2
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
0
1
L
26.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Tomayapo
4
1
W
20.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Oruro
1
4
L
12.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Potosí
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Aurora
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1
2
L
14.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Always Ready
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Blooming
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
5
L
01.03.26
Fri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
0
W
26.02.26
CON
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
0
2
L
19.02.26
CON
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
1
0
W
Last matches: The Strongest
26.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
0
W
21.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
4
3
W
15.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
Guabirá
1
3
L
08.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
31.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Aurora
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Blooming
1
1
D
19.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
0
D
16.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Bolívar
1
1
D
14.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Always Ready
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Potosí
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
ABB
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
3
2
W
24.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Tomayapo
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Blooming
2
1
W
25.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
4
1
W
11.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
5
1
W
H2H: Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest
05.08.26
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
3
L
04.03.26
H2H
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
5
1
L
01.03.26
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
0
W
18.12.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
0
W
16.12.25
H2H
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
1
2
W
09.08.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
0
2
L
06.04.25
H2H
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
2
0
L
25.09.24
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
1
D
12.05.24
H2H
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
2
1
L
06.12.23
H2H
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
1
0
L
24.06.23
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
6
3
W
16.09.22
H2H
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
10.07.22
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
5
L
12.05.22
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
1
D
05.03.22
H2H
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
Last matches: Nacional Potosí
22.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
3
0
W
16.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
ABB
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Tomayapo
4
1
W
20.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Oruro
1
4
L
10.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Aurora
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
1
0
W
14.12.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
08.12.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
ABB
2
0
W
30.11.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
04.11.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Blooming
3
0
W
24.09.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
3
L
12.08.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
5
1
W
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
0
2
L
30.07.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
4
1
W
14.07.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Oruro
2
3
L
29.06.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
1
1
D
H2H at home: Nacional Potosí
05.08.26
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
3
L
01.03.26
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
0
W
18.12.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
0
W
09.08.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
0
2
L
25.09.24
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
1
D
24.06.23
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
6
3
W
10.07.22
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
5
L
12.05.22
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
1
D
Last matches: The Strongest
26.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
0
W
15.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
Guabirá
1
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Blooming
1
1
D
19.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
0
D
14.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Always Ready
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
3
2
W
24.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Tomayapo
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Blooming
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
0
2
L
22.02.26
Fri
The Strongest
Always Ready
0
2
L
11.02.26
CON
The Strongest
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
12.12.25
Pri
The Strongest
Real Tomayapo
0
1
L
04.12.25
Pri
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
The Strongest
ABB
2
1
W
25.09.25
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
4
3
W
21.09.25
Pri
The Strongest
Guabirá
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
The Strongest
Aurora
1
2
L
09.08.25
Pri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
20.07.25
Pri
The Strongest
Jorge Wilstermann
2
1
W
H2H away: The Strongest
05.08.26
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
3
W
01.03.26
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
0
L
18.12.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
0
L
09.08.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
0
2
W
25.09.24
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
1
D
24.06.23
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
6
3
L
10.07.22
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
5
W
12.05.22
H2H
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
1
D

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 5 1 33:10 23 35
D D W D W
2 16 10 3 3 40:18 22 33
W W W W L
3 17 9 6 2 29:20 9 33
W W L L W
4 17 8 3 6 32:23 9 27
D W W W L
5 17 6 7 4 22:12 10 25
L D D W W
6 16 7 4 5 27:28 -1 25
D W W W D
7 16 5 8 3 23:22 1 23
D L L D D
8 16 5 7 4 21:17 4 22
D W L D L
9 16 6 4 6 22:24 -2 22
L W W D W
10 17 6 3 8 25:23 2 21
L W W L L
11 16 5 2 9 26:33 -7 17
D L L W D
12 16 5 2 9 29:42 -13 17
L L W L L
13 17 5 2 10 18:35 -17 17
L L L W D
14 17 4 4 9 13:32 -19 16
W D W L L
15 17 2 8 7 19:27 -8 14
D D L L D
16 17 4 2 11 22:35 -13 14
W L L L L