NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
22.08.2026 14:30
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Referee: J. Manschot
NAC Breda
Match Timeline
Jong Ajax
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
M. Muzungu
NAC Breda
🟨
30'
Jinairo Johnson
Jong Ajax
🟨
37'
Fredrik Jensen
NAC Breda
59'
D. Pugno
Jong Ajax
🟨
61'
Maximilien Balard
NAC Breda
🔄
61'
L. Frankel ↔ A. Appiah
Jong Ajax
🔄
66'
C. Valerius ↔ B. Lucassen
NAC Breda
🔄
66'
J. Van Hecke ↔ I. Nazih
NAC Breda
🔄
67'
M. Soumano ↔ M. Seuntjens
NAC Breda
🔄
67'
C. Brym ↔ P. Gladon
NAC Breda
🟨
70'
Diego Pugno
Jong Ajax
71'
P. Gladon · Assist: M. Seuntjens
NAC Breda
🔄
77'
J. Monserrate ↔ T. Peters
Jong Ajax
🔄
77'
S. de Falco ↔ L. Acheampong
Jong Ajax
🔄
77'
P. Nash ↔ J. Simeon
Jong Ajax
80'
E. Unuvar
Jong Ajax
🔄
83'
F. Jensen ↔ P. Reulen
NAC Breda
🔄
86'
D. Pugno ↔ P. Da Silva
Jong Ajax
88'
P. Reulen
NAC Breda
🟨
90+1'
Pepijn Reulen
NAC Breda
🟨
90'
Jeshurun Simeon
Jong Ajax

NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
NAC Breda Win 58.8%
Draw 16.9%
Jong Ajax Win 24.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
NAC Breda2.22
Jong Ajax1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
NAC Breda NAC Breda
WWDLW
10 GF / 13 GA
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
WLDWL
5 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
3.67
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
3
5.5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NAC Breda NAC Breda 8 matches
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax 3 matches
NAC Breda Statistic Jong Ajax
4 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
4 Losses 3
10 Goals For 5
13 Goals Against 11
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 3.67
5 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 1
5.5 Shots On Goal 5.5
25 Total Shots 12
9 Corners 3
68% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, NAC Breda won 5 times, Jong Ajax won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:28 from NAC Breda's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4.15 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: NAC Breda 4-4-2 / Jong Ajax 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NAC Breda wins 5, draws 3, Jong Ajax wins 5

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 24:10 14 18
L W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 16:4 12 16
W W L W W
3 7 5 0 2 19:11 8 15
W W L W W
4 7 3 4 0 18:9 9 13
W W W D D
5 7 4 1 2 13:9 4 13
W L W W L
6 7 4 1 2 10:15 -5 13
L L D W W
7 9 4 1 4 22:17 5 13
W D L W W
8 7 3 3 1 7:5 2 12
D W D D W
9 7 4 0 3 17:17 0 12
L L W L W
10 9 3 3 3 14:16 -2 12
L D L W D
11 7 3 1 3 13:15 -2 10
W L L D W
12 7 3 1 3 11:13 -2 10
W W D L L
13 7 3 0 4 17:14 3 9
L W L W L
14 7 2 2 3 13:12 1 8
L W W L D
15 9 2 2 5 13:22 -9 8
D L L W D
16 7 2 1 4 12:16 -4 7
W L L L W
17 9 2 1 6 15:21 -6 7
L W W D L
18 7 2 0 5 8:12 -4 6
W L L W L
19 7 1 1 5 9:21 -12 4
L L L L L
20 7 1 1 5 8:20 -12 4
L W L L L
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)