NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Referee: J. Manschot
NAC Breda
Match Timeline
Jong Ajax
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
M. Muzungu
NAC Breda
🟨
30'
J. Johnson
Jong Ajax
🟨
37'
F. Jensen
NAC Breda
59'
D. Pugno
Jong Ajax
🟨
61'
M. Balard
NAC Breda
🔄
61'
L. Frankel ↔ A. Appiah
Jong Ajax
🔄
66'
C. Valerius ↔ B. Lucassen
NAC Breda
🔄
66'
J. Van Hecke ↔ I. Nazih
NAC Breda
🔄
67'
M. Soumano ↔ M. Seuntjens
NAC Breda
🔄
67'
C. Brym ↔ P. Gladon
NAC Breda
🟨
70'
D. Pugno
Jong Ajax
71'
P. Gladon · Assist: M. Seuntjens
NAC Breda
🔄
77'
P. Nash ↔ J. Simeon
Jong Ajax
🔄
77'
J. Monserrate ↔ T. Peters
Jong Ajax
🔄
77'
S. de Falco ↔ L. Acheampong
Jong Ajax
80'
E. Unuvar
Jong Ajax
🔄
84'
F. Jensen ↔ P. Reulen
NAC Breda
🔄
86'
D. Pugno ↔ P. Da Silva
Jong Ajax
88'
P. Reulen
NAC Breda
🟨
90'
J. Simeon
Jong Ajax
🟨
90+1'
P. Reulen
NAC Breda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.26
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.33
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
1.26
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.33
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.95
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
NAC Breda Win 58.8%
Draw 16.9%
Jong Ajax Win 24.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
NAC Breda2.22
Jong Ajax1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
NAC Breda NAC Breda
WWDLW
10 GF / 13 GA
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
WLDWL
5 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
3.67
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
3
5.5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NAC Breda NAC Breda 8 matches
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax 3 matches
NAC Breda Statistic Jong Ajax
4 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
4 Losses 3
10 Goals For 5
13 Goals Against 11
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 3.67
5 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 1
5.5 Shots On Goal 5.5
25 Total Shots 12
9 Corners 3
68% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, NAC Breda won 4 times, Jong Ajax won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:26 from NAC Breda's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: NAC Breda 4-4-2 / Jong Ajax 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NAC Breda wins 4, draws 3, Jong Ajax wins 5
Stats
NAC Breda NAC Breda
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 21
2 Offsides 2
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 4
15 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
409 Total passes 377
326 Passes accurate 304
2.29 expected_goals 1.46
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NAC Breda
Formation
Jong Ajax
Michael Verrips
Michael Verrips
Cherrion Valerius
Cherrion Valerius
Leo Greiml
Leo Greiml
Jan Van den Bergh
Jan Van den Bergh
Rio Hillen
Rio Hillen
Jannes Van Hecke
Jannes Van Hecke
Fredrik Jensen
Fredrik Jensen
Maximilien Balard
Maximilien Balard
Mohamed Nassoh
Mohamed Nassoh
Charles-Andreas Brym
Charles-Andreas Brym
Moussa Soumano
Moussa Soumano
Joeri Heerkens
Joeri Heerkens
Leroy Frankel
Leroy Frankel
Mylo van der Lans
Mylo van der Lans
Marvyn Muzungu
Marvyn Muzungu
Sinclair de Falco
Sinclair de Falco
Jinairo Johnson
Jinairo Johnson
Mohamed Abdalla
Mohamed Abdalla
Emre Ünüvar
Emre Ünüvar
Jano Monserrate
Jano Monserrate
Pharrel Nash
Pharrel Nash
Diego Pugno
Diego Pugno
NAC Breda 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Michael Verrips
G
25
Cherrion Valerius
↓ 66'
D
4
Leo Greiml
D
12
Jan Van den Bergh
D
22
Rio Hillen
D
78
Jannes Van Hecke
↓ 66'
M
8
Fredrik Jensen
↓ 84' 🟨 37'
M
6
Maximilien Balard
🟨 61'
M
10
Mohamed Nassoh
M
7
Charles-Andreas Brym
↓ 67'
F
9
Moussa Soumano
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
2
Boyd Lucassen
↑ 66'
D
34
Imran Nazih
M
20
Mats Seuntjens
🎯 71' ↑ 67'
M
19
Paul Gladon
⚽ 71' ↑ 67'
F
26
Pepijn Reulen
⚽ 88' ↑ 84' 🟨 90+1'
F
31
Kostas Lamprou
G
23
Roy Kortsmit
G
35
Mylan Brouwers
D
32
Rayan van Aarst
D
5
Jayden Candelaria
D
11
Raul Paula
M
Jong Ajax 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Joeri Heerkens
G
2
Leroy Frankel
↓ 61'
D
3
Mylo van der Lans
D
4
Marvyn Muzungu
⚽ 10'
D
5
Sinclair de Falco
↓ 77'
D
6
Jinairo Johnson
🟨 30'
M
8
Mohamed Abdalla
M
7
Emre Ünüvar
⚽ 80'
M
10
Jano Monserrate
↓ 77'
M
11
Pharrel Nash
↓ 77'
M
9
Diego Pugno
⚽ 59' ↓ 86' 🟨 70'
F
Substitutes
17
Avery Appiah
↑ 61'
D
21
Tijn Peters
↑ 77'
M
20
Levi Acheampong
↑ 77'
M
23
Jeshurun Simeon
↑ 77' 🟨 90'
F
22
Paulo Da Silva
↑ 86'
F
12
Charlie Setford
G
30
Aymean el Hani
G
16
Jahyendrow Amour
D
18
Luuk Beekman
D
19
Mark Verkuijl
M
25
Anass Moumane
F
24
Elias Mechrouch
F
Last matches: NAC Breda
14.08.26
Eer
NAC Breda
VVV Venlo
0
2
L
07.08.26
Eer
NAC Breda
FC OSS
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
NAC Breda
Bolton
0
1
L
28.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
OFI
3
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
Lokeren-Temse
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
Excelsior
1
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
Hoek
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
FC Eindhoven
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ere
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
3
3
D
11.05.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Utrecht
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Fortuna Sittard
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ere
NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ere
NAC Breda
GO Ahead Eagles
0
6
L
08.03.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Feyenoord
3
3
D
27.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Telstar
0
3
L
21.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
FC Volendam
1
0
W
14.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Heracles
1
0
W
Last matches: Jong Ajax
17.08.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Emmen
4
6
L
07.08.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Dordrecht
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
0
3
L
24.04.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Jong Utrecht
0
2
L
17.04.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21
1
0
W
13.04.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
FC OSS
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Vitesse
1
6
L
03.04.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
ADO Den Haag
2
4
L
20.03.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
0
2
L
17.03.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
VVV Venlo
1
0
W
13.03.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Den Bosch
3
2
W
06.03.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
FC Eindhoven
1
2
L
27.02.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Helmond Sport
5
1
W
23.02.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Emmen
0
0
D
20.02.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Dordrecht
1
0
W
16.02.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Cambuur
1
2
L
06.02.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
0
4
L
02.02.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Willem II
2
1
W
19.01.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Roda
2
2
D
12.01.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
2
1
W
H2H: NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax
08.03.24
H2H
Jong Ajax
NAC Breda
0
1
W
10.11.23
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
1
1
D
13.03.23
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
2
6
L
12.09.22
H2H
Jong Ajax
NAC Breda
3
1
L
01.04.22
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
0
0
D
13.09.21
H2H
Jong Ajax
NAC Breda
6
3
L
02.04.21
H2H
Jong Ajax
NAC Breda
1
1
D
02.10.20
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
4
0
W
17.02.20
H2H
Jong Ajax
NAC Breda
2
4
W
22.11.19
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
1
2
L
17.03.17
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
4
3
W
04.11.16
H2H
Jong Ajax
NAC Breda
2
1
L
Last matches: NAC Breda
14.08.26
Eer
NAC Breda
VVV Venlo
0
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
OFI
3
2
W
18.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
Excelsior
1
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
FC Eindhoven
0
2
L
11.05.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
08.03.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Feyenoord
3
3
D
21.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
FC Volendam
1
0
W
06.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Excelsior
0
2
L
30.01.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Twente
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
3
4
L
20.12.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Telstar
0
1
L
14.12.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Utrecht
1
1
D
22.11.25
Ere
NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
0
1
L
01.11.25
Ere
NAC Breda
GO Ahead Eagles
1
0
W
18.10.25
Ere
NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
03.10.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Groningen
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Heracles
2
1
W
31.08.25
Ere
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
H2H at home: NAC Breda
10.11.23
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
1
1
D
13.03.23
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
2
6
L
01.04.22
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
0
0
D
02.10.20
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
4
0
W
22.11.19
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
1
2
L
17.03.17
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
4
3
W
Last matches: Jong Ajax
07.08.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Dordrecht
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
0
3
L
17.04.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21
1
0
W
06.04.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Vitesse
1
6
L
03.04.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
ADO Den Haag
2
4
L
17.03.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
VVV Venlo
1
0
W
06.03.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
FC Eindhoven
1
2
L
23.02.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Emmen
0
0
D
20.02.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Dordrecht
1
0
W
06.02.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
0
4
L
12.01.26
Eer
Jong Ajax
Jong AZ
2
1
W
12.12.25
Eer
Jong Ajax
MVV
1
2
L
05.12.25
Eer
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
2
3
L
24.11.25
Eer
Jong Ajax
Helmond Sport
1
2
L
01.11.25
Eer
Jong Ajax
Cambuur
1
4
L
21.10.25
Eer
Jong Ajax
FC OSS
1
1
D
29.09.25
Eer
Jong Ajax
Waalwijk
1
2
L
19.09.25
Eer
Jong Ajax
Willem II
0
1
L
12.09.25
Eer
Jong Ajax
Roda
3
3
D
25.08.25
Eer
Jong Ajax
Jong Utrecht
3
4
L
H2H away: Jong Ajax
10.11.23
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
1
1
D
13.03.23
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
2
6
W
01.04.22
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
0
0
D
02.10.20
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
4
0
L
22.11.19
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
1
2
W
17.03.17
H2H
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
4
3
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.52
Draw 5.15
Home 1.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.95
Draw 3.15
Home 1.56
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 3.0 1.48
Over 3.25 1.66
Over 3.5 1.85
Over 3.75 2.05
Over 4.0 2.40
Over 4.25 2.48
Over 4.5 2.95
Over 5.5 4.98
Under 2.5 3.15
Under 3.0 2.58
Under 3.25 2.18
Under 3.5 1.94
Under 3.75 1.75
Under 4.0 1.55
Under 4.25 1.49
Under 4.5 1.37
Under 5.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 11.00
Draw 5.75
Home 1.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 3.00
Home 1.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 3.40
Home 1.44
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 3.5 1.80
Over 4.5 2.75
Over 5.5 5.00
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 34.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Under 1.5 8.00
Under 2.5 3.40
Under 3.5 1.91
Under 4.5 1.40
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.20
Draw 5.30
Home 1.27
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.25
Draw 2.56
Home 1.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.75
Draw 3.60
Home 1.44
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.06
Over 1.75 1.07
Over 2.0 1.09
Over 2.25 1.20
Over 2.5 1.31
Over 2.75 1.38
Over 3.0 1.46
Over 3.25 1.67
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 3.75 2.01
Over 4.0 2.24
Over 4.25 2.45
Over 4.5 2.69
Over 4.75 3.14
Over 5.0 3.90
Over 5.25 4.20
Over 5.5 4.45
Over 6.0 7.20
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 34.00
Under 0.5 16.50
Under 1.0 12.50
Under 1.5 6.15
Under 1.75 5.74
Under 2.0 5.30
Under 2.25 3.68
Under 2.5 2.92
Under 2.75 2.70
Under 3.0 2.43
Under 3.25 2.15
Under 3.5 1.92
Under 3.75 1.76
Under 4.0 1.54
Under 4.25 1.43
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 4.75 1.27
Under 5.0 1.18
Under 5.25 1.15
Under 5.5 1.14
Under 6.0 1.03
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 5.80
Home 1.23
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 3.10
Home 1.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 3.55
Home 1.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.5 1.29
Over 3.0 1.41
Over 3.25 1.60
Over 3.5 1.77
Over 3.75 1.95
Over 4.0 2.23
Over 4.25 2.48
Over 4.5 2.70
Over 5.5 4.40
Under 1.5 6.40
Under 2.5 3.15
Under 3.0 2.55
Under 3.25 2.16
Under 3.5 1.91
Under 3.75 1.73
Under 4.0 1.56
Under 4.25 1.46
Under 4.5 1.38
Under 5.5 1.16

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)