Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mushuc Runa SC
27 matches
Leones del Norte
27 matches
| Mushuc Runa SC | Statistic | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 10 |
| 33 | Goals For | 29 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.7 | Shots On Goal | 3.85 |
| 12.52 | Total Shots | 12.19 |
| 4.78 | Corners | 4.07 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 46.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mushuc Runa SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Leones del Norte in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leones del Norte having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Leones del Norte. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Mushuc Runa SC sit 8 with 36 points after 27 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, while the 33:34 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronie Carrillo (6 goals), Renato Ibarra (4 goals), Cristopher Angulo (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Renato Ibarra (2 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 26 matches, Leones del Norte have collected 35 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 28:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juan Anangonó (5 goals), Darío Pazmiño (3 goals), Emiliano Griffa (3 goals), with creative support from Jonathan Arroyo (3 assists), Darío Pazmiño (2 assists), Elián Pepinós (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 0 times, Leones del Norte won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 47 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Home
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
Leones del Norte
Away
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|