GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
21.09.2026 17:00
Spaeri Stadium

Spaeri vs Dila Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 82.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
82.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.9%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 17.9%
Draw 32.9%
Dila Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.31
Dila1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
45 GF / 50 GA
Dila Dila
WLDWL
36 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
22
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
15
2
Shots on Goal
1.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 33 matches
Dila Dila 29 matches
Spaeri Statistic Dila
7 Wins 12
13 Draws 4
13 Losses 13
45 Goals For 36
50 Goals Against 36
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
22 BTTS Yes 13
26 Over 1.5 18
19 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 9
2 Shots On Goal 1.33
4.38 Total Shots 2.67
2.25 Corners 0.78
18.8% Ball Possession 7.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Dila's more proactive style and Spaeri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dila. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Spaeri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spaeri expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dila in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dila having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Spaeri Analysis

With 25 points from 26 games and a place of 9, Spaeri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats with a 33:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dila Analysis

Placed 5 with 37 points from 25 outings, Dila continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 33:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 0 times, Dila won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:10 from Spaeri's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Spaeri 4-2-3-1 / Dila 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 0, draws 0, Dila wins 5

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 12 8 6 43:34 9 44
D W W W W
2 25 12 7 6 31:21 10 43
D L D W W
3 24 12 4 8 33:27 6 40
W L W L L
4 24 10 9 5 36:27 9 39
D D W L W
5
Dila Away
25 11 4 10 33:27 6 37
D W W L D
6 25 8 9 8 38:29 9 33
D D L D W
7 25 9 5 11 34:46 -12 32
L L D W L
8 25 6 10 9 24:32 -8 28
D L W L D
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 25 2 10 13 19:42 -23 16
D D W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2