ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: A. Diaz
Mushuc Runa SC
Match Timeline
Deportivo Cuenca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Klimowicz · Assist: M. Diaz
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
13'
Nicolás Davila
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
16'
Ignacio Mosquera
Deportivo Cuenca
22'
L. Lemos · Assist: R. Ibarra
Mushuc Runa SC
VAR
45+2'
Kevin Velasco
Mushuc Runa SC
45'
F. Castelli
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
46'
B. Garcia ↔ D. Gonzalez
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
M. Diaz ↔ M. Siguenza
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
S. Morocho ↔ J. Valencia
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
58'
C. Angulo ↔ T. Minda
Mushuc Runa SC
63'
R. Ibarra · Assist: K. Velasco
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
68'
E. Vega ↔ N. Leguizamon
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
68'
I. Mosquera ↔ M. Maccari
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
75'
Renato Ibarra
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
75'
F. Castelli ↔ R. Carrillo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
75'
R. Ibarra ↔ A. Zambrano
Mushuc Runa SC
78'
R. Carrillo · Assist: E. Davila
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
81'
K. Velasco ↔ N. Dibble
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
81'
E. Davila ↔ J. Carcelen
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
90+1'
Jorge Ordóñez
Deportivo Cuenca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Mushuc Runa SC Win 42.2%
Draw 20.2%
Deportivo Cuenca Win 37.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mushuc Runa SC1.09
Deportivo Cuenca1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WWDLW
11 GF / 11 GA
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WLDWL
15 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
5
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 10 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 12 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Statistic Deportivo Cuenca
3 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
11 Goals For 15
11 Goals Against 13
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
5 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
3.3 Shots On Goal 3.6
11.1 Total Shots 11.2
4.3 Corners 3.8
44.4% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Deportivo Cuenca's more proactive style and Mushuc Runa SC's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Cuenca. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mushuc Runa SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Deportivo Cuenca in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cuenca having the stronger overall control.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC are currently 8 in the standings with 13 points from 10 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Freddy Mina (2 goals), Ronie Carrillo (2 goals), C. Orejuela (1 goals), with creative support from Freddy Mina (1 assists), Ronie Carrillo (1 assists), K. Velasco (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca are currently 6 in the standings with 14 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 9:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Ordonez (3 goals), G. Rivero (2 goals), N. Leguizamon (2 goals), with creative support from G. Rivero (2 assists), C. Arboleda (2 assists), J. Ordonez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 5 times, Deportivo Cuenca won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2 / Deportivo Cuenca 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Mushuc Runa SC wins 5, draws 4, Deportivo Cuenca wins 6
Stats
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 8
12 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 8
4 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 9
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
428 Total passes 414
374 Passes accurate 353
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mushuc Runa SC
Formation
Deportivo Cuenca
R. Formento
R. Formento
K. Peralta
K. Peralta
F. Flor
F. Flor
B. Negro
B. Negro
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
C. Angulo
C. Angulo
E. Davila
🎯
E. Davila
L. Lemos
L. Lemos
K. Velasco
🎯
K. Velasco
R. Ibarra
🎯
R. Ibarra
F. Castelli
F. Castelli
F. Ferrero
F. Ferrero
I. Mosquera
I. Mosquera
E. Guevara
E. Guevara
M. Piedra
M. Piedra
Y. H. Erique Villigua
Y. H. Erique Villigua
E. Vega
E. Vega
J. Ordonez
J. Ordonez
S. Morocho
S. Morocho
B. Garcia
B. Garcia
M. Diaz
🎯
M. Diaz
M. Klimowicz
M. Klimowicz
Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
R. Formento
G
26
K. Peralta
D
2
F. Flor
D
6
B. Negro
D
33
J. Hernandez
D
99
C. Angulo
↓ 58'
M
5
E. Davila
🎯 78' ↓ 81' 🟨 13'
M
23
L. Lemos
⚽ 22'
M
77
K. Velasco
🎯 63' ↓ 81'
30
R. Ibarra
⚽ 63' 🎯 22' ↓ 75' 🟨 75'
F
81
F. Castelli
⚽ 45' ↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
42
W. Pabon
G
12
F. Carabali
D
9
R. Carrillo
⚽ 78' ↑ 75'
F
8
A. Zambrano
↑ 75'
M
7
T. Minda
↑ 58'
F
50
J. Cusme
D
32
C. Orejuela
M
11
N. Dibble
↑ 81'
F
44
M. Gamboa
D
19
J. Carcelen
↑ 81'
17
O. Pico
M
18
J. Gonzalez
M
Deportivo Cuenca 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
F. Ferrero
G
2
I. Mosquera
↓ 68' 🟨 16'
D
23
E. Guevara
D
18
M. Piedra
D
53
Y. H. Erique Villigua
D
8
E. Vega
↓ 68'
M
43
J. Ordonez
🟨 90+1'
M
21
S. Morocho
↓ 46'
M
20
B. Garcia
↓ 46'
M
19
M. Diaz
🎯 9' ↓ 46'
M
29
M. Klimowicz
⚽ 9'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Minda
G
9
N. Leguizamon
↑ 68'
F
6
S. Postel
D
25
A. Lopez
D
37
C. Arboleda
F
28
P. Boolsen
D
30
M. Maccari
↑ 68'
M
16
J. Mejia
49
D. Gonzalez
↑ 46'
M
50
M. Siguenza
↑ 46'
F
13
J. Valencia
↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
11.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
06.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
05.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
31.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
16.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fri
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
H2H: Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca
25.04.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
28.06.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
01.03.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
27.04.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
5
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
13.05.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
L
22.10.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
L
28.05.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
31.10.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
15.05.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
W
05.12.20
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
29.08.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
13.07.19
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
L
17.02.19
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
11.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
H2H at home: Mushuc Runa SC
25.04.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.10.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
28.05.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
31.10.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
29.08.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
17.02.19
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
05.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
2
1
W
H2H away: Deportivo Cuenca
25.04.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.10.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
28.05.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
L
31.10.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
L
29.08.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
17.02.19
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 1 3 36:18 18 40
W W L W W
2 17 8 5 4 20:13 7 29
W L W W L
3 17 8 5 4 20:16 4 29
W D W L W
4 17 8 3 6 19:14 5 27
L W D W W
5 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
L W D W W
6 18 7 5 6 28:18 10 26
L L L W D
7 18 7 5 6 18:18 0 26
W W D L L
8 18 7 2 9 19:19 0 23
L W W W L
9 18 6 5 7 19:19 0 23
W W D L W
10 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
L L L W W
11 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
W D D L L
12 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 20
D W W D D
13 17 5 4 8 14:20 -6 19
L L D L L
14 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
D L L D L
15 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
L L W L D
16 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12
L W L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs