GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Referee: M. Petersen
MSV Duisburg
Match Timeline
FC Viktoria Köln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Jakob Sachse
FC Viktoria Köln
🟨
30'
Tobias Eisenhuth
FC Viktoria Köln
🟨
42'
Can Coskun
MSV Duisburg
🔄
46'
D. Kother ↔ C. Noss
MSV Duisburg
50'
T. Duman · Assist: D. Otto
FC Viktoria Köln
🟨
55'
Christoph Greger
FC Viktoria Köln
🔄
57'
B. Schlicke ↔ P. Sussek
MSV Duisburg
🔄
61'
R. Velasco ↔ Y. Tonye
FC Viktoria Köln
🔄
73'
F. Kruger ↔ T. Topken
MSV Duisburg
🔄
73'
C. Coskun ↔ J. Symalla
MSV Duisburg
76'
J. Bitter
MSV Duisburg
🔄
78'
N. Jessen ↔ M. Gockan
MSV Duisburg
🟨
79'
Rasim Bulić
MSV Duisburg
🔄
83'
T. Duman ↔ F. Engelhardt
FC Viktoria Köln
🔄
83'
J. Sachse ↔ M. Sponsel
FC Viktoria Köln
🔄
90'
T. Eisenhuth ↔ C. Greger
FC Viktoria Köln

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
MSV Duisburg Win 68.8%
Draw 0%
FC Viktoria Köln Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
MSV Duisburg1.62
FC Viktoria Köln1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
WWDLW
65 GF / 48 GA
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln
WLDWL
50 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
24
BTTS Yes
17
24
Over 2.5
20
3.55
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 37 matches
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln 37 matches
MSV Duisburg Statistic FC Viktoria Köln
19 Wins 15
10 Draws 5
8 Losses 17
65 Goals For 50
48 Goals Against 52
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
24 BTTS Yes 17
28 Over 1.5 29
24 Over 2.5 20
17 Over 3.5 11
11 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 12
3.55 Shots On Goal 3.65
9.23 Total Shots 8.87
4.03 Corners 3.45
37.8% Ball Possession 39.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by MSV Duisburg's more proactive style and FC Viktoria Köln's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Viktoria Köln. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with MSV Duisburg expected to line up in 5-4-1 and FC Viktoria Köln in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Viktoria Köln having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Viktoria Köln arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. MSV Duisburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 67 points compared to FC Viktoria Köln in 11 on 50, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

MSV Duisburg Analysis

MSV Duisburg come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 67 points after 37 matches. They have recorded 19 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, with a 65:48 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Conor Noß (10 goals), P. Sussek (7 goals), Joshua Bitter (6 goals), with creative support from P. Sussek (7 assists), J. Symalla (7 assists), Joshua Bitter (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FC Viktoria Köln Analysis

With 50 points from 37 games and a place of 11, FC Viktoria Köln still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 15 wins, 5 draws, and 17 defeats with a 50:52 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Lobinger (17 goals), D. Otto (8 goals), Leonhard Münst (6 goals), with creative support from D. Otto (11 assists), Leonhard Münst (6 assists), S. Handle (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, MSV Duisburg won 3 times, FC Viktoria Köln won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from MSV Duisburg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: MSV Duisburg 5-4-1 / FC Viktoria Köln 4-4-2
H2H summary: MSV Duisburg wins 3, draws 4, FC Viktoria Köln wins 5

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation