FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
1 - 3
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
Referee: J. Nieminen
MP
Match Timeline
JIPPO
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Victor de Paula
JIPPO
38'
S. Saidy · Assist: E. Ylonen
MP
🔄
46'
M. Turunen ↔ T. Smith
JIPPO
47'
Y. Kikuchi
JIPPO
52'
Victor de Paula · Assist: N. Haataja
JIPPO
🔄
61'
E. Ylonen ↔ P. Kerminen
MP
🟨
71'
S. Saidy
MP
🔄
72'
V. Karttunen ↔ A. Tervaniemi
MP
🔄
75'
Victor de Paula ↔ K. Mahugo
JIPPO
🔄
75'
J. Kiuru ↔ L. Sahimaa
JIPPO
78'
Y. Kikuchi · Assist: T. Smith
JIPPO
🔄
81'
J. Lehtiranta ↔ L. Forss
JIPPO
🔄
87'
E. Honkola ↔ E. Kinnunen
JIPPO
🔄
88'
S. Atakayi ↔ M. Al Sheikh
MP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
MP Win 47.9%
Draw 8.9%
JIPPO Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
MP0.92
JIPPO1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
MP MP
WWDLW
14 GF / 15 GA
JIPPO JIPPO
WLDWL
11 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.55
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MP MP 12 matches
JIPPO JIPPO 11 matches
MP Statistic JIPPO
5 Wins 5
1 Draws 5
6 Losses 1
14 Goals For 11
15 Goals Against 6
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.55
5 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around JIPPO's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring JIPPO. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JIPPO having the stronger overall control. JIPPO carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 12 points while MP sit 8 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. MP have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

MP Analysis

MP sit 8 with 6 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 3:6, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Forsell (1 goals), S. Atakayi (1 goals), V. Karttunen (1 goals), with creative support from M. Kastrati (1 assists), P. Kerminen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

JIPPO Analysis

JIPPO approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 12 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 6:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Kiuru (3 goals), E. Honkola (1 goals), M. Turunen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Honkola (1 assists), Y. Kikuchi (1 assists), J. Watanabe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MP won 7 times, JIPPO won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:19 from MP's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
H2H summary: MP wins 7, draws 4, JIPPO wins 4

Lineups

MP
Formation
JIPPO
J. Uronen
J. Uronen
V. Laiho
V. Laiho
T. Afshari
T. Afshari
A. Chishima
A. Chishima
E. Ylonen
🎯
E. Ylonen
S. Stenius
S. Stenius
V. Janhunen
V. Janhunen
S. Saidy
S. Saidy
A. Traore
A. Traore
V. Karttunen
V. Karttunen
S. Atakayi
S. Atakayi
P. Piirainen
P. Piirainen
Victor de Paula
Victor de Paula
J. Watanabe
J. Watanabe
M. Turunen
M. Turunen
J. Kiuru
J. Kiuru
J. Lehtiranta
J. Lehtiranta
P. Forsman
P. Forsman
N. Tykkylainen
N. Tykkylainen
N. Haataja
🎯
N. Haataja
E. Honkola
E. Honkola
Y. Kikuchi
⚽ 2
Y. Kikuchi
MP 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
J. Uronen
4
V. Laiho
6
T. Afshari
7
A. Chishima
10
E. Ylonen
🎯 38' ↓ 61'
15
S. Stenius
19
V. Janhunen
20
S. Saidy
⚽ 38' 🟨 71'
27
A. Traore
29
V. Karttunen
↓ 72'
45
S. Atakayi
↓ 88'
Substitutes
30
T. Heikkinen
9
M. Al Sheikh
↑ 88'
17
S. Seppanen
26
S. Sarkka
28
A. Tervaniemi
↑ 72'
87
M. Kastrati
99
P. Kerminen
↑ 61'
JIPPO 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
P. Piirainen
4
Victor de Paula
⚽ 52' ↓ 75' 🟨 12'
6
J. Watanabe
9
M. Turunen
↓ 46'
11
J. Kiuru
↓ 75'
12
J. Lehtiranta
↓ 81'
16
P. Forsman
21
N. Tykkylainen
24
N. Haataja
🎯 52'
28
E. Honkola
↓ 87'
41
Y. Kikuchi
⚽ 47' ⚽ 78'
Substitutes
22
V. Vainikainen
2
K. Mahugo
↑ 75'
3
V. Vesiaho
7
J. Malinen
8
T. Smith
🎯 78' ↑ 46'
14
A. Nuutinen
15
L. Sahimaa
↑ 75'
18
E. Kinnunen
↑ 87'
20
L. Forss
↑ 81'
Last matches: MP
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
Last matches: JIPPO
03.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
3
3
D
27.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
3
0
W
09.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Haka
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
PK-35
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Klubi-04
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
JäPS
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JIPPO
Lahti
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
JIPPO
KuPS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
JJK
2
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
AC Oulu
1
1
D
10.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
H2H: MP vs JIPPO
17.05.26
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
14.04.26
H2H
JIPPO
MP
1
2
W
14.02.26
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
10.08.24
H2H
JIPPO
MP
2
4
W
19.06.24
H2H
JIPPO
MP
0
0
D
24.04.24
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
MP
JIPPO
0
2
L
18.03.23
H2H
MP
JIPPO
3
1
W
23.10.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
2
0
W
28.08.21
H2H
JIPPO
MP
4
2
L
20.06.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
4
1
W
03.03.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
5
0
W
04.08.19
H2H
MP
JIPPO
0
0
D
25.05.19
H2H
JIPPO
MP
0
0
D
22.07.18
H2H
MP
JIPPO
3
1
W
Last matches: MP
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
H2H at home: MP
17.05.26
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
14.02.26
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
24.04.24
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
MP
JIPPO
0
2
L
18.03.23
H2H
MP
JIPPO
3
1
W
23.10.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
2
0
W
20.06.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
4
1
W
03.03.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
5
0
W
04.08.19
H2H
MP
JIPPO
0
0
D
22.07.18
H2H
MP
JIPPO
3
1
W
Last matches: JIPPO
03.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
3
3
D
09.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Haka
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
JIPPO
Lahti
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
JIPPO
KuPS
0
1
L
18.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
AC Oulu
1
1
D
H2H away: JIPPO
17.05.26
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
3
W
14.02.26
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
3
W
24.04.24
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
MP
JIPPO
0
2
W
18.03.23
H2H
MP
JIPPO
3
1
L
23.10.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
2
0
L
20.06.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
4
1
L
03.03.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
5
0
L
04.08.19
H2H
MP
JIPPO
0
0
D
22.07.18
H2H
MP
JIPPO
3
1
L

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 21:13 8 29
D W W L W
2 13 8 3 2 21:7 14 27
W W W D W
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4
JIPPO Away
13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5 13 6 1 6 12:19 -7 19
W L L W L
6
MP Home
13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7 13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8 12 4 3 5 14:17 -3 15
W L L W L
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen