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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
14.09.2026 19:15
Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Referee: Fabio Melo, Portugal
Moreirense
Match Timeline
Maritimo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Rodrigo Andrade
Maritimo
🟨
11'
Kiko Bondoso
Moreirense
⚽
18'
M. Mendonca · Assist: T. Andrade
Moreirense
⚽
29'
L. Vonic · Assist: K. Bondoso
Moreirense
🔄
46'
R. Andrade ↔ M. Dominguez
Maritimo
🔄
46'
B. Limbombe ↔ I. Ayuma
Maritimo
🟨
59'
Maxime Dominguez
Maritimo
🔄
61'
L. Vonic ↔ A. Duville-Parsemain
Moreirense
🔄
61'
K. Bondoso ↔ Landerson
Moreirense
🔄
69'
N. John ↔ Rodri
Moreirense
🔄
71'
V. Danilovic ↔ S. Bamba
Maritimo
⚽
79'
R. Correia
Maritimo
🔄
81'
Maracas ↔ Kevyn Monteiro
Moreirense
🔄
81'
M. Mendonca ↔ C. Songa
Moreirense
🔄
81'
Raphael Guzzo ↔ M. Bassouamina
Maritimo
🔄
81'
M. Tejon ↔ M. Boakye
Maritimo
⚽
86'
A. Duville-Parsemain
Moreirense
🟨
90+3'
Israel Ayuma
Maritimo

Moreirense vs Maritimo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Moreirense Win 58%
Draw 5.7%
Maritimo Win 36.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moreirense1.26
Maritimo1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moreirense Moreirense
WWDLW
12 GF / 20 GA
Maritimo Maritimo
WLDWL
12 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.09
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
6
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
5
2.4
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moreirense Moreirense 10 matches
Maritimo Maritimo 11 matches
Moreirense Statistic Maritimo
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
12 Goals For 12
20 Goals Against 15
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
6 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
2.4 Shots On Goal 3.4
6.6 Total Shots 10.8
2.4 Corners 2.6
35.6% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Moreirense won 5 times, Maritimo won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Moreirense's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Moreirense 4-2-3-1 / Maritimo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Moreirense wins 5, draws 4, Maritimo wins 6

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2