VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: R. Cueva
Monagas SC
Match Timeline
Deportivo La Guaira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
14'
F. Jaramillo ↔ d. J. Perez Piamo Y. J.
Monagas SC
39'
J. Perdomo
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
46'
J. Colorado ↔ E. Farias
Monagas SC
🔄
46'
E. Carrion ↔ L. Rodriguez
Monagas SC
🔄
57'
S. Herrera ↔ D. Castillo
Monagas SC
🔄
61'
A. Uribe ↔ F. Londono
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
62'
J. Castellanos ↔ C. Da Silva
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
68'
R. Rodriguez ↔ A. Romero
Monagas SC
🔄
71'
J. Perdomo ↔ S. Zeballos
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
71'
J. Meza ↔ M. Sulbaran
Deportivo La Guaira
78'
S. Zeballos · Assist: M. Sulbaran
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
83'
M. Gonzalez ↔ J. Gutierrez
Deportivo La Guaira
90+1'
K. De La Hoz · Assist: L. Rodriguez
Monagas SC
🟨
90+2'
N. Henry
Monagas SC
🟨
90+4'
C. Ramirez
Monagas SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Monagas SC Win 51.4%
Draw 4.2%
Deportivo La Guaira Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monagas SC1.06
Deportivo La Guaira1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WWDLW
14 GF / 22 GA
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WLDWL
28 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
6
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monagas SC Monagas SC 13 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 27 matches
Monagas SC Statistic Deportivo La Guaira
3 Wins 8
2 Draws 13
8 Losses 6
14 Goals For 28
22 Goals Against 28
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
6 BTTS Yes 14
10 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 3.17
0 Total Shots 8.67
0 Corners 3.5
0% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo La Guaira's more proactive style and Monagas SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo La Guaira carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while Monagas SC sit 12 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo La Guaira. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo La Guaira having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Monagas SC Analysis

Monagas SC sit 12 with 11 points after 13 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 14:22 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 27 points after 13 matches. With 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monagas SC won 2 times, Deportivo La Guaira won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from Monagas SC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Monagas SC - / Deportivo La Guaira 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Monagas SC wins 2, draws 5, Deportivo La Guaira wins 8
Last matches: Monagas SC
25.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Rayo Zuliano
3
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Zamora FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Academia Anzoátegui
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
3
1
W
27.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
0
4
L
22.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
3
L
13.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
UCV
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
1
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo Tachira FC
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
0
0
D
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
0
W
17.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Academia Anzoátegui
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
H2H: Monagas SC vs Deportivo La Guaira
31.01.26
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
0
L
31.10.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
07.07.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
0
L
25.01.25
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
17.11.24
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
27.10.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
3
1
L
25.07.24
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
11.02.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
1
L
06.10.23
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
04.02.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
0
0
D
08.07.22
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
15.05.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
1
5
W
05.12.21
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
0
L
14.11.21
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
0
W
Last matches: Monagas SC
25.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Rayo Zuliano
3
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Academia Anzoátegui
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
UCV
0
3
L
H2H at home: Monagas SC
25.10.25
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
17.11.24
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
25.07.24
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
06.10.23
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
08.07.22
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
14.11.21
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
0
W
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
28.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
1
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo Tachira FC
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
0
W
17.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Academia Anzoátegui
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Deportivo La Guaira
Fundación Lara Deportiva
1
2
L
H2H away: Deportivo La Guaira
25.10.25
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
17.11.24
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
W
25.07.24
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
06.10.23
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
08.07.22
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
2
D
14.11.21
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)