Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
91.3%
|
1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
1.58 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.46 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
13.00 |
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ilves
31 matches
HJK Helsinki
29 matches
| Ilves | Statistic | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 14 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 13 | Losses | 10 |
| 51 | Goals For | 50 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.72 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.13 | Shots On Goal | 1.5 |
| 4.33 | Total Shots | 3.42 |
| 1.71 | Corners | 1.63 |
| 21.8% | Ball Possession | 20.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights HJK Helsinki's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and HJK Helsinki in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HJK Helsinki having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HJK Helsinki. Ilves have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Ilves approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 25 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 33:35 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Maksim Stjopin (2 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
HJK Helsinki approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 34 points after 21 outings. With 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 4 times, HJK Helsinki won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Ilves's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
HJK Helsinki
Away
|
22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 36 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Home
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
W
W
W
L
L
|