Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 0%
Draw 0%
HJK Helsinki Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.7
HJK Helsinki1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves
WWDLW
41 GF / 32 GA
HJK Helsinki
WLDWL
32 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
12
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
11
3.07
Shots on Goal
1.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ilves
21 matches
HJK Helsinki
19 matches
| Ilves | Statistic | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 41 | Goals For | 32 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.95 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.07 | Shots On Goal | 1.67 |
| 6.93 | Total Shots | 4.67 |
| 2.4 | Corners | 1.6 |
| 29.6% | Ball Possession | 21.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 4 times, HJK Helsinki won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Ilves's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / HJK Helsinki 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Ilves wins 4, draws 4, HJK Helsinki wins 6
Last matches: Ilves
16.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
3
1
W
08.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
3
4
L
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
H2H: Ilves vs HJK Helsinki
01.07.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
1
L
16.05.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
30.10.25
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
3
1
W
29.09.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
11.08.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
5
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
3
2
W
28.09.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
0
1
W
06.07.24
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
3
0
W
25.05.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
0
0
D
22.07.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
1
0
L
21.05.23
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
11.03.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
3
1
L
23.07.22
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
08.05.22
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
1
L
Last matches: Ilves
16.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
3
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Ilves II
10
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
17.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
H2H at home: Ilves
30.10.25
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
3
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
3
2
W
06.07.24
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
3
0
W
10.02.24
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
0
0
D
21.05.23
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
0
4
L
H2H away: HJK Helsinki
30.10.25
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
3
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
3
2
L
06.07.24
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
3
0
L
10.02.24
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
0
0
D
21.05.23
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
1
2
W
Standings
Veikkausliiga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
HJK Helsinki
Away
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Home
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8:33 | -25 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)