VPS vs Lahti Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
50.5%
|
2.12 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.78 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
3.02 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
VPS
Lahti
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
VPS
25 matches
Lahti
25 matches
| VPS | Statistic | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 33 | Goals For | 32 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 1.55 | Shots On Goal | 2.05 |
| 3.6 | Total Shots | 6.15 |
| 1.6 | Corners | 2.55 |
| 24% | Ball Possession | 28.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lahti. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VPS expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Lahti in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lahti having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. VPS have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
With 33 points from 21 games and a place of 5, VPS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 29:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Smyth (3 goals), Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Turfkruier (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), J. Muzinga (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 29 points from 21 matches. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 25:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Y. Cassubie (1 goals), with creative support from Martim Ferreira (1 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), R. Sans (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 5 times, Lahti won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from VPS's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 36 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
VPS
Home
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
Lahti
Away
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
W
W
W
L
L
|