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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
31.08.2026 16:00
Wiklof Holding Arena
Referee: Peiman Simani, Finland
Mariehamn
Match Timeline
FF Jaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
Adam Larsson
Mariehamn
🟨
49'
Kaius Hardén
FF Jaro
🟨
52'
Jesper Svenungsen Skau
FF Jaro
🔄
60'
V. Vuorinen ↔ J. Remesaho
FF Jaro
⚽
62'
A. Larsson
Mariehamn
🔄
69'
K. Harden ↔ A. Bjonback
FF Jaro
🔄
73'
A. Larsson ↔ T. Jakobsen
Mariehamn
⚽
75'
T. Jakobsen · Assist: J. Svedberg
Mariehamn
🔄
76'
O. Kass Kawo ↔ V. Lofs
FF Jaro
🔄
76'
A. Vidjeskog ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🟨
77'
Jonathan Svedberg
Mariehamn
🟨
77'
Valde Lofs
FF Jaro
🔄
80'
V. Widlund ↔ M. Hyvonen
Mariehamn
🔄
80'
A. Bergvik ↔ A. Stroud
Mariehamn

Mariehamn vs FF Jaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mariehamn Win 57.1%
Draw 27.6%
FF Jaro Win 15.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mariehamn1.25
FF Jaro1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mariehamn Mariehamn
WWDLW
20 GF / 49 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
24 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
11
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
15
1.33
Shots on Goal
1.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mariehamn Mariehamn 25 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 26 matches
Mariehamn Statistic FF Jaro
3 Wins 4
7 Draws 7
15 Losses 15
20 Goals For 24
49 Goals Against 50
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
11 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 4
13 Failed To Score 10
1.33 Shots On Goal 1.86
4.1 Total Shots 4.81
2.1 Corners 1.9
23.3% Ball Possession 22.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mariehamn expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FF Jaro in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. FF Jaro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FF Jaro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Mariehamn Analysis

So far, Mariehamn have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 11 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 15:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Huttunen (1 goals), S. Dahlström (1 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Amankwah (1 assists), A. Stroud (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro sit 11 with 15 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats with a 18:42 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 6 times, FF Jaro won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Mariehamn's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.7%)
Predicted formations: Mariehamn 4-2-3-1 / FF Jaro 4-3-3
H2H summary: Mariehamn wins 6, draws 5, FF Jaro wins 4

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D D
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W W L
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W W D D W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
L D D W D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L W L L L
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
W L L L W
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
L D L W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
D W W W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W W D D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D L W L W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs