NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Aker Stadion
Referee: J. Haugen
Molde
Match Timeline
Sandefjord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
F. Gulbrandsen · Assist: E. Breivik
Molde
🔄
46'
M. Linnes ↔ I. Amundsen
Molde
57'
E. Hestad
Molde
🔄
65'
N. Moller ↔ S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🔄
65'
E. Patoulidis ↔ F. Apetorgbor
Sandefjord
🔄
65'
M. Melchior ↔ B. Berntsen
Sandefjord
🟨
66'
Jakob Vester
Sandefjord
🔄
70'
S. Granaas ↔ O. Spiten-Nysaeter
Molde
🔄
70'
F. Gulbrandsen ↔ I. Gosik
Molde
🔄
71'
E. Hestad ↔ C. Zady
Molde
🔄
78'
J. Vester ↔ R. Dzabic
Sandefjord
🔄
85'
E. Breivik ↔ E. Haugan
Molde
🔄
87'
V. Egeli ↔ G. Hojbjerg
Sandefjord
89'
S. Mathisen · Assist: F. Apetorgbor
Sandefjord
🟨
90+4'
Isak Helstad Amundsen
Molde
VAR
90+9'
Vebjørn Hoff
Molde
🟨
90+6'
Elias Hadaya
Sandefjord
🟨
90+3'
Foster Apetorgbor
Sandefjord

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Molde Win 69.1%
Draw 0%
Sandefjord Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Molde1.42
Sandefjord1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Molde Molde
WWDLW
25 GF / 18 GA
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WLDWL
30 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
9
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
10
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Molde Molde 16 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord 20 matches
Molde Statistic Sandefjord
7 Wins 11
4 Draws 4
5 Losses 5
25 Goals For 30
18 Goals Against 24
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
9 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 3
4.4 Shots On Goal 4.9
12.3 Total Shots 14.5
4.6 Corners 5.9
60% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Molde's more proactive style and Sandefjord's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Molde expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sandefjord in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sandefjord.

Molde Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 16 points from 9 games, Molde bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 15:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on E. Breivik (6 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (3 goals), Eirik Hestad (2 goals), with creative support from S. Hansen (2 assists), Eirik Hestad (1 assists), J. Abdullai (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sandefjord Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Sandefjord have collected 13 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 8:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Patoulidis (2 goals), Nikolaj Möller (2 goals), J. Vester (1 goals), with creative support from B. Berntsen (1 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), Vetle Walle Egeli (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Molde won 7 times, Sandefjord won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Molde's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Molde 4-2-3-1 / Sandefjord 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Molde 6, Sandefjord 4
H2H summary: Molde wins 7, draws 1, Sandefjord wins 5
Stats
Molde Molde
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 10
13 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 11
4 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
477 Total passes 450
385 Passes accurate 378
0.99 expected_goals 1.24
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Molde
Formation
Sandefjord
A. Posiadala
A. Posiadala
H. Stenevik
H. Stenevik
S. Hansen
S. Hansen
B. Risa
B. Risa
M. Linnes
M. Linnes
V. Hoff
V. Hoff
M. Daehli
M. Daehli
E. Hestad
E. Hestad
E. Breivik
🎯
E. Breivik
S. Granaas
S. Granaas
F. Gulbrandsen
F. Gulbrandsen
E. Hadaya
E. Hadaya
F. Pedersen
F. Pedersen
Z. Smajlovic
Z. Smajlovic
X. Lambrix
X. Lambrix
V. Egeli
V. Egeli
M. Melchior
M. Melchior
S. Mork
S. Mork
J. Vester
J. Vester
E. Patoulidis
E. Patoulidis
N. Moller
N. Moller
R. Alte
R. Alte
Molde 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
A. Posiadala
G
18
H. Stenevik
D
4
S. Hansen
D
33
B. Risa
D
25
M. Linnes
↓ 46'
D
15
V. Hoff
M
17
M. Daehli
M
5
E. Hestad
⚽ 57' ↓ 71'
M
10
E. Breivik
🎯 6' ↓ 85'
M
23
S. Granaas
↓ 70'
M
8
F. Gulbrandsen
⚽ 6' ↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
12
P. Lervik
G
19
E. Haugan
↑ 85'
D
11
C. Zady
↑ 71'
F
6
I. Amundsen
↑ 46' 🟨 90+4'
D
31
B. Isufi
M
14
J. Christensen
M
24
T. Kone-Doherty
F
21
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
↑ 70'
F
44
I. Gosik
↑ 70'
F
Sandefjord 4-3-3
Starting XI
30
E. Hadaya
🟨 90+6'
G
4
F. Pedersen
D
2
Z. Smajlovic
D
44
X. Lambrix
D
3
V. Egeli
↓ 87'
D
20
M. Melchior
↓ 65'
M
6
S. Mork
M
37
J. Vester
↓ 78' 🟨 66'
M
7
E. Patoulidis
↓ 65'
F
11
N. Moller
↓ 65'
F
10
R. Alte
F
Substitutes
1
A. Gronneberg
G
8
R. Dzabic
↑ 78'
M
47
S. Kristiansen
D
21
J. Swift
24
S. Mathisen
⚽ 89' ↑ 65'
F
5
G. Hojbjerg
↑ 87'
D
17
F. Apetorgbor
🎯 89' ↑ 65' 🟨 90+3'
F
19
B. Berntsen
↑ 65'
F
Last matches: Molde
26.07.26
Eli
Molde
KFUM Oslo
4
2
W
18.07.26
Eli
Molde
Brann
1
2
L
11.07.26
Eli
Molde
Aalesund
2
2
D
05.07.26
Fri
Molde
Rosenborg
1
2
L
28.06.26
Fri
Molde
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
21.06.26
Fri
Molde
KFUM Oslo
5
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Molde
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
10.05.26
Eli
Molde
Tromso
0
2
L
04.05.26
Eli
Molde
Bodo/Glimt
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Molde
Valerenga
5
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Molde
Start
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Molde
Ham-Kam
4
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Molde
Lillestrom
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eli
Molde
Viking
1
4
L
14.03.26
Eli
Molde
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Molde
Aalesund
4
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
Molde
Viking
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
Molde
Brattvåg
2
1
W
12.02.26
Fri
Molde
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
Last matches: Sandefjord
26.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
L
12.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Aalesund
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
18.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Start
3
2
W
02.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Ranheim
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stabaek
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Aalborg
4
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Skeid
2
2
D
06.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Valerenga
2
5
L
H2H: Molde vs Sandefjord
30.05.26
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
W
19.10.25
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
1
3
L
06.04.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Molde
3
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
0
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Molde
3
1
L
12.08.23
H2H
Sandefjord
Molde
2
2
D
29.05.23
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
5
0
W
24.02.23
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
W
06.11.22
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
W
24.07.22
H2H
Sandefjord
Molde
2
3
W
07.11.21
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
3
1
W
21.08.21
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
0
0
D
10.07.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Molde
0
0
D
12.06.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Molde
1
3
W
26.09.20
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
0
1
L
Last matches: Molde
18.07.26
Eli
Molde
Brann
1
2
L
28.06.26
Fri
Molde
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
21.06.26
Fri
Molde
KFUM Oslo
5
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Molde
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Molde
Valerenga
5
1
W
12.04.26
Eli
Molde
Ham-Kam
4
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Molde
Lillestrom
0
1
L
14.03.26
Eli
Molde
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Molde
Aalesund
4
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
Molde
Viking
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
Molde
Brattvåg
2
1
W
12.02.26
Fri
Molde
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
Molde
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
02.02.26
Fri
Molde
Træff
1
1
D
H2H at home: Molde
30.05.26
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
W
19.10.25
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
1
3
L
19.10.24
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
0
1
L
29.05.23
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
5
0
W
24.02.23
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
W
06.11.22
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
W
07.11.21
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
3
1
W
21.08.21
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
0
0
D
26.09.20
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
0
1
L
Last matches: Sandefjord
18.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
3
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Valerenga
2
5
L
23.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
2
1
W
H2H away: Sandefjord
30.05.26
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
L
19.10.25
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
1
3
W
19.10.24
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
0
1
W
29.05.23
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
5
0
L
24.02.23
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
L
06.11.22
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
2
1
L
07.11.21
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
3
1
L
21.08.21
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
0
0
D
26.09.20
H2H
Molde
Sandefjord
0
1
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 37:11 26 35
W W W W D
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5
Molde Home
14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 14 6 2 6 22:24 -2 20
W W L W L
8 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
9 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:26 -6 18
L L L D D
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Molde 6 missing
-
S. Kabini
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
D. Daga
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Dahl
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Oyvann
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Kikkenborg
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
J. Abdullai
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Sandefjord 4 missing
-
J. Swift
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Loftesnes-Bjune
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
J. Dunsby
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
H. Krogelien
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT