NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
16.05.2026 14:00
Aker Stadion
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad, Norway
Molde
Match Timeline
Kristiansund BK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Niklas Odegard
Kristiansund BK
⚽
42'
V. Hoff · Assist: S. Hansen
Molde
🔄
46'
B. Risa ↔ E. Haugan
Molde
🔄
54'
P. Meliga ↔ L. Alvheim
Kristiansund BK
🔄
61'
O. Spiten-Nysaeter ↔ S. Granaas
Molde
🔄
70'
E. Hestad ↔ M. Linnes
Molde
🔄
70'
M. Daehli ↔ J. Christensen
Molde
🔄
70'
N. Odegard ↔ A. Ronning
Kristiansund BK
🟨
74'
Samukelo Kabini
Molde
🟨
77'
Leander Alvheim
Kristiansund BK
🔄
81'
A. Munksgaard ↔ H. Haugen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
82'
M. Isah ↔ T. Svendsen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
82'
W. Igor ↔ J. Isaksen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
90'
F. Gulbrandsen ↔ V. Bender
Molde

Molde vs Kristiansund BK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 94.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
94.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Molde Win 94.3%
Draw 0%
Kristiansund BK Win 5.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Molde1.41
Kristiansund BK1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Molde Molde
WWDLW
23 GF / 16 GA
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
8
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
4
4.38
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Molde Molde 14 matches
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 15 matches
Molde Statistic Kristiansund BK
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 6
4 Losses 5
23 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 16
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
8 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 7
4.38 Shots On Goal 4.14
12.25 Total Shots 11.43
4.38 Corners 3.71
57.6% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Molde's more proactive style and Kristiansund BK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kristiansund BK. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Molde expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kristiansund BK in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kristiansund BK having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Molde Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 13 points from 8 games, Molde bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 14:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on E. Breivik (6 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (3 goals), Eirik Hestad (2 goals), with creative support from Eirik Hestad (1 assists), J. Abdullai (1 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK are currently 10 in the standings with 8 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 7:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Meliga (3 goals), Leander Alvheim (2 goals), M. Isah (1 goals), with creative support from Heine Gikling Bruseth (1 assists), S. Kilen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Molde won 8 times, Kristiansund BK won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Molde's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Molde 4-2-3-1 / Kristiansund BK 4-3-3
Missing players: Molde 5, Kristiansund BK 2
H2H summary: Molde wins 8, draws 1, Kristiansund BK wins 5

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4
Molde Home
21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen