Mirassol vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
49.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Mirassol
Flamengo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mirassol
28 matches
Flamengo
31 matches
| Mirassol | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 19 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 3 |
| 32 | Goals For | 61 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.84 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 5.78 |
| 12.75 | Total Shots | 15.56 |
| 5.21 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 50.7% | Ball Possession | 56.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Flamengo's more proactive style and Mirassol's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Flamengo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 39 points while Mirassol sit 15 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mirassol expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Flamengo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Flamengo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Flamengo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Mirassol approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 23 points from 20 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 23:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Igor Formiga (4 goals), Negueba (2 goals), Edson Carioca (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (4 assists), Reinaldo (3 assists), Igor Formiga (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Flamengo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 39 points from 20 matches. The record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 37:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pedro (12 goals), Samuel Lino (5 goals), Giorgian de Arrascaeta (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (7 assists), Pedro (4 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Mirassol won 0 times, Flamengo won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Mirassol's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Away
|
27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Mirassol
Home
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
D
|