ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium
Midland
Match Timeline
Quilmes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
53'
M. Flores · Assist: J. Perales
Midland
🟨
56'
L. Gigli
Midland
🔄
59'
J. Yangali ↔ M. Fernandez
Quilmes
🔄
65'
J. Perales ↔ M. Penepil
Midland
🔄
65'
R. Luna ↔ D. Bulacio
Midland
🔄
68'
P. Bonacci ↔ A. Lavezzi
Quilmes
🔄
68'
U. Vera ↔ R. Martinez
Quilmes
🔄
69'
M. Flores ↔ F. Marin
Midland
🟨
83'
A. Batista
Quilmes
🔄
85'
M. Vallejos ↔ J. Coronel
Quilmes
🔄
86'
N. Violini ↔ L. Recalde
Midland
🔄
86'
M. Roseti ↔ M. Abruzzese
Midland

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.8%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Midland Win 76.8%
Draw 7.1%
Quilmes Win 16.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Midland0.98
Quilmes0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Midland Midland
WWDLW
23 GF / 17 GA
Quilmes Quilmes
WLDWL
18 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
0.95
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
10
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Midland Midland 21 matches
Quilmes Quilmes 19 matches
Midland Statistic Quilmes
8 Wins 6
7 Draws 6
6 Losses 7
23 Goals For 18
17 Goals Against 15
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
10 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Quilmes. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Quilmes having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Midland have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Midland Analysis

With 26 points from 18 games and a place of 6, Midland still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats with a 19:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Quilmes Analysis

Quilmes are currently 9 in the standings with 24 points from 19 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 18:15 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Midland won 1 times, Quilmes won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Midland's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
H2H summary: Midland wins 1, draws 1, Quilmes wins 0

Lineups

Midland
Formation
Quilmes
M. Leguiza
M. Leguiza
L. Diaz Laharque
L. Diaz Laharque
G. Cepeda
G. Cepeda
L. Gigli
L. Gigli
P. Casarico
P. Casarico
M. Flores
M. Flores
N. Violini
N. Violini
J. Camano
J. Camano
R. Luna
R. Luna
M. Roseti
M. Roseti
J. Perales
🎯
J. Perales
G. Marinelli
G. Marinelli
M. Vallejos
M. Vallejos
I. Rasso
I. Rasso
A. Kippes
A. Kippes
T. Ortega
T. Ortega
P. Bonacci
P. Bonacci
A. Bolivar
A. Bolivar
J. Yangali
J. Yangali
U. Vera
U. Vera
A. Batista
A. Batista
A. Spetale
A. Spetale
Midland 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Leguiza
4
L. Diaz Laharque
2
G. Cepeda
6
L. Gigli
🟨 56'
3
P. Casarico
7
M. Flores
⚽ 53' ↓ 69'
5
N. Violini
↓ 86'
8
J. Camano
11
R. Luna
↓ 65'
10
M. Roseti
↓ 86'
9
J. Perales
🎯 53' ↓ 65'
Substitutes
12
L. Escobar
13
L. Recalde
↑ 86'
14
P. Castorani
15
M. Penepil
↑ 65'
16
M. Abruzzese
↑ 86'
17
V. Madalon
18
D. Bulacio
↑ 65'
19
R. Cao
20
F. Marin
↑ 69'
Quilmes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Marinelli
4
M. Vallejos
↓ 85'
2
I. Rasso
6
A. Kippes
3
T. Ortega
7
P. Bonacci
↓ 68'
5
A. Bolivar
8
J. Yangali
↓ 59'
11
U. Vera
↓ 68'
10
A. Batista
🟨 83'
9
A. Spetale
Substitutes
12
E. Glellel
17
N. Colazo
14
S. Luna
13
L. Romeo
20
A. Lavezzi
↑ 68'
16
R. Martinez
↑ 68'
15
F. Yozwiak
19
J. Coronel
↑ 85'
18
M. Fernandez
↑ 59'
Last matches: Midland
01.08.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Midland
Colegiales
2
0
W
Last matches: Quilmes
01.08.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
3
D
26.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Colegiales
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
20.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Colegiales
1
3
L
13.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Agropecuario
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Temperley
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Almagro
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
0
D
H2H: Midland vs Quilmes
12.07.26
H2H
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
21.02.26
H2H
Quilmes
Midland
0
0
D
Last matches: Midland
26.07.26
Pri
Midland
Patronato
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Midland
Colegiales
2
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Midland
Fénix
4
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Midland
Liniers
2
1
W
07.10.25
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
21.09.25
Pri
Midland
Sacachispas
2
1
W
08.09.25
Pri
Midland
Dock Sud
3
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Midland
Real Pilar
0
1
L
09.08.25
Pri
Midland
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
20.07.25
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
2
1
W
09.07.25
Pri
Midland
Argentino de Merlo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Midland
12.07.26
H2H
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
Last matches: Quilmes
01.08.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
3
D
20.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Colegiales
1
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Agropecuario
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Temperley
3
3
D
29.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Almagro
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atlanta
0
1
L
H2H away: Quilmes
12.07.26
H2H
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 5 5 35:25 10 41
L W D D W
2 22 10 9 3 21:12 9 39
W W W L D
3 23 9 10 4 24:20 4 37
L W W D W
4 22 11 3 8 28:22 6 36
L L W L L
5 22 9 7 6 23:16 7 34
D W W D D
6 23 9 5 9 31:24 7 32
W L D W W
7 22 8 7 7 22:22 0 31
W W D W D
8 23 8 7 8 17:19 -2 31
D W L L L
9 23 7 9 7 21:19 2 30
L L D W W
10 22 8 5 9 21:21 0 29
W W L L W
11 22 7 8 7 20:20 0 29
W L D L W
12 22 8 5 9 20:24 -4 29
D W L W W
13 21 7 6 8 22:22 0 27
D L W L W
14 22 7 5 10 18:23 -5 26
W L D W D
15 22 6 7 9 21:20 1 25
D L L W L
16 22 4 11 7 16:21 -5 23
D L D L D
17 23 5 8 10 18:28 -10 23
L W D D L
18 22 5 4 13 20:39 -19 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation