Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Wellington Phoenix
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wellington Phoenix Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.78
Wellington Phoenix1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
38 GF / 28 GA
Wellington Phoenix
WLDWL
33 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
12
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
16
6.05
Shots on Goal
5.05
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Melbourne Victory
22 matches
Wellington Phoenix
22 matches
| Melbourne Victory | Statistic | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 38 | Goals For | 33 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.86 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 6.05 | Shots On Goal | 5.05 |
| 17.91 | Total Shots | 12.86 |
| 6.18 | Corners | 5.09 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 8 times, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Wellington Phoenix 4-4-2
Missing players: Melbourne Victory 2, Wellington Phoenix 2
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 8, draws 3, Wellington Phoenix wins 4
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Melbourne Victory
Home
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Wellington Phoenix
Away
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)