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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
20.10.2026 13:00
Mutesa II Stadium

Maroons vs Kataka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Maroons Win 76.7%
Draw 9.7%
Kataka Win 13.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maroons1.77
Kataka0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maroons Maroons
WWDLW
9 GF / 7 GA
Kataka Kataka
WLDWL
3 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maroons Maroons 6 matches
Kataka Kataka 6 matches
Maroons Statistic Kataka
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
9 Goals For 3
7 Goals Against 13
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Maroons's more proactive style and Kataka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kataka arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kataka. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kataka having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Maroons arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 7 points compared to Kataka in 17 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Maroons Analysis

Maroons sit 8 with 7 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Kataka Analysis

Kataka approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 2 points from 5 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 13:3 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
W D W W W
3 6 4 2 0 11:2 9 14
W D W D W
4 6 3 2 1 6:2 4 11
D W D L W
5 5 3 1 1 13:2 11 10
W D W W L
6 6 3 1 2 4:4 0 10
W W W D L
7 6 3 0 3 6:9 -3 9
L L L W W
8 4 2 2 0 5:3 2 8
W W D D
9 6 2 2 2 4:5 -1 8
L W W D L
10 6 2 1 3 9:7 2 7
D W L L W
11 6 2 1 3 4:9 -5 7
D L L W L
12 6 2 1 3 4:10 -6 7
L L W D L
13 5 1 2 2 2:3 -1 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 4:6 -2 5
L D D L W
15 5 1 1 3 3:7 -4 4
D L L L W
16 6 1 0 5 3:13 -10 3
L W L L L
17 6 0 2 4 3:13 -10 2
L L D L L
18 5 0 1 4 1:8 -7 1
L L L D L