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ISRAEL › LIGAT HA'AL
17.10.2026 17:00
Teddy Stadium

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Beitar Jerusalem Win 28.4%
Draw 4.1%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win 67.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Beitar Jerusalem1.32
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem
WWDLW
20 GF / 17 GA
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
WLDWL
30 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
9
4.4
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 13 matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 14 matches
Beitar Jerusalem Statistic Maccabi Tel Aviv
7 Wins 9
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
20 Goals For 30
17 Goals Against 14
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
4.4 Shots On Goal 5.25
12.9 Total Shots 12.42
4 Corners 4
49.1% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Maccabi Tel Aviv's more proactive style and Beitar Jerusalem's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beitar Jerusalem expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Maccabi Tel Aviv in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Maccabi Tel Aviv having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maccabi Tel Aviv. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Maccabi Tel Aviv carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while Beitar Jerusalem sit 5 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Maccabi Tel Aviv look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Beitar Jerusalem Analysis

Beitar Jerusalem come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 9 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 7:9 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on O. Atzili (2 goals), E. Ansah (2 goals), S. Weissman (1 goals), with creative support from T. Yosefi (4 assists), O. Atzili (1 assists), Y. Shua (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maccabi Tel Aviv Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 15 points after 5 outings. With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 18:6, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Dor Peretz (5 goals), E. Sokler (2 goals), O. Davida (2 goals), with creative support from Hélio Varela (2 assists), Dor Peretz (1 assists), E. Sokler (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Beitar Jerusalem won 6 times, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:27 from Beitar Jerusalem's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Beitar Jerusalem 4-3-3 / Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Beitar Jerusalem wins 6, draws 3, Maccabi Tel Aviv wins 6

Standings

Ligat Al
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:6 12 16
D W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 16:8 8 15
W W W W L
3 6 4 1 1 14:5 9 13
W W L W W
4 6 4 1 1 10:7 3 13
W W W L D
5 6 4 0 2 11:9 2 12
W W W W L
6 6 2 3 1 9:7 2 9
W L W D D
7 6 2 1 3 13:16 -3 7
L W D W L
8 6 1 3 2 7:7 0 6
D L L D W
9 6 2 0 4 9:13 -4 6
L L L L W
10 6 1 2 3 3:6 -3 5
D W L L L
11 6 1 1 4 3:9 -6 4
D L L L W
12 6 1 0 5 6:14 -8 3
L L L L W
13 6 1 0 5 4:13 -9 3
L L W L L
14 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 1
L L D W L
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