Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Mariehamn
KuPS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
10 matches
KuPS
10 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | KuPS |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 9 | Goals For | 12 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.7 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 1.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 4.17 | Total Shots | 8.29 |
| 1.83 | Corners | 3.14 |
| 23.2% | Ball Possession | 34.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by KuPS's more proactive style and Mariehamn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. KuPS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 12 points while Mariehamn sit 12 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Mariehamn have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mariehamn expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KuPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 3 points from 6 games and a place of 12, Mariehamn still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Dahlstrom (2 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), Emmanuel Patut (1 goals), with creative support from Emmanuel Patut (1 assists), T. Koivisto (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
KuPS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 12 points after 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (4 goals), B. Armah (2 goals), O. Ruoppi (2 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (1 assists), P. Pennanen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 2 times, KuPS won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:25 from Mariehamn's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Mariehamn
2
10
1
4
0
9
Lineups
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Sleipner
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
Lahti
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
JIPPO
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Crystal Palace
KuPS
Lausanne
KuPS
Jagiellonia
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sleipner
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Crystal Palace
KuPS
Jagiellonia
KuPS
Breidablik
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
KuPS
Rīgas FS
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
KuPS
Away
|
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:27 | -17 | 7 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Home
|
11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|