BRAZIL SERIE D
16.05.2026 18:30
Maracanã
Match Timeline
Iguatu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
44'
Vinicius Caninde
Maracanã
53'
Matheus Lima
Iguatu

Maracanã vs Iguatu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maracanã Win 62.4%
Draw 0%
Iguatu Win 37.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maracanã0.8
Iguatu1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maracanã Maracanã
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Iguatu Iguatu
WLDWL
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maracanã Maracanã 6 matches
Iguatu Iguatu 6 matches
Maracanã Statistic Iguatu
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
6 Goals For 9
4 Goals Against 3
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Iguatu look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Iguatu having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Iguatu. Iguatu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 14 points while Maracanã sit 3 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Maracanã Analysis

Placed 3 with 9 points from 6 outings, Maracanã continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 6:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alison (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Iguatu Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 14 points from 6 games, Iguatu bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 9:3, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Klaivert (3 goals), Matheus Lima (3 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)