Malaga vs Racing Santander Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
94.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
93.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Malaga
Racing Santander
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Malaga
42 matches
Racing Santander
44 matches
| Malaga | Statistic | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 27 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 76 | Goals For | 93 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.11 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 31 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 32 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 23 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.21 | Shots On Goal | 5.45 |
| 13.26 | Total Shots | 12.98 |
| 3.98 | Corners | 5.27 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 48.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Malaga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Racing Santander in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Santander having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Racing Santander look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Racing Santander. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Operating from 4 place with 69 points from 40 games, Malaga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 20 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, with a 72:51 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Chupe (23 goals), A. Nino (12 goals), David Larrubia (9 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Muñoz (6 assists), Chupe (5 assists), R. Rodriguez (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with H. Abaida unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Racing Santander approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 78 points after 40 outings. They have recorded 24 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a 85:59 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Martin (22 goals), A. Villalibre (16 goals), I. Vicente (8 goals), with creative support from I. Vicente (18 assists), A. Martin (9 assists), P. Canales (8 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Malaga won 6 times, Racing Santander won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Malaga's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Santander
Away
|
42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Malaga
Home
|
42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|