BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Maguary PE
Match Timeline
Sousa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
Julio Cesar
Maguary PE
80'
Renato Henrique
Maguary PE

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
83.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maguary PE Win 42.4%
Draw 21.8%
Sousa Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maguary PE0.77
Sousa0.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maguary PE Maguary PE
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Sousa Sousa
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.7
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maguary PE Maguary PE 8 matches
Sousa Sousa 10 matches
Maguary PE Statistic Sousa
2 Wins 5
4 Draws 1
2 Losses 4
6 Goals For 7
4 Goals Against 8
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
1 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Maguary PE's more proactive style and Sousa's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sousa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sousa. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Maguary PE Analysis

Maguary PE come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 10 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 6:4 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Eduardo (2 goals), Vinicius Kanu (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Sousa Analysis

Sousa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 10 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 4:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maguary PE won 1 times, Sousa won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Maguary PE's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.2%)
H2H summary: Maguary PE wins 1, draws 0, Sousa wins 1
Last matches: Maguary PE
12.07.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Iguatu
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Iguatu
2
3
L
27.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Piauí
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Piauí
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
0
1
L
25.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
3
0
W
Last matches: Sousa
14.06.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Pombal
2
1
W
04.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Potiguar Mossoró
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
0
0
D
29.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
3
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
11.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H: Maguary PE vs Sousa
01.06.26
H2H
Maguary PE
Sousa
2
0
W
12.04.26
H2H
Sousa
Maguary PE
1
0
L
Last matches: Maguary PE
04.07.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Iguatu
2
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Piauí
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
3
0
W
H2H at home: Maguary PE
01.06.26
H2H
Maguary PE
Sousa
2
0
W
Last matches: Sousa
16.05.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Pombal
2
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
0
0
D
15.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
01.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
1
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
19.04.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
H2H away: Sousa
01.06.26
H2H
Maguary PE
Sousa
2
0
L

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5
Sousa Away
10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)