BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Maguary PE
Match Timeline
Piauí
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Vinicius Kanu
Maguary PE
45'
Matheus Bambu
Maguary PE
🟥
67'
Italo
Maguary PE
🟥
90+5'
Eduardo Thuram
Piauí

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.3%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maguary PE Win 43.3%
Draw 16.7%
Piauí Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maguary PE0.92
Piauí1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maguary PE Maguary PE
WWDLW
8 GF / 5 GA
Piauí Piauí
WLDWL
14 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
1
BTTS Yes
7
1
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maguary PE Maguary PE 10 matches
Piauí Piauí 10 matches
Maguary PE Statistic Piauí
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
8 Goals For 14
5 Goals Against 11
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
1 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 7
1 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Piauí having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Piauí. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Maguary PE Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Maguary PE arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 13 points after 10 matches. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 8:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Eduardo (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Piauí Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Piauí arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 17 points after 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:11 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Kauan Maranhao (9 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maguary PE won 1 times, Piauí won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Maguary PE's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
H2H summary: Maguary PE wins 1, draws 0, Piauí wins 1
Last matches: Maguary PE
12.07.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Iguatu
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Iguatu
2
3
L
27.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Piauí
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
2
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
3
0
W
Last matches: Piauí
27.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Maguary PE
1
0
W
13.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
01.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Fluminense PI
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Altos
1
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Altos
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Fluminense PI
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
H2H: Maguary PE vs Piauí
27.06.26
H2H
Piauí
Maguary PE
1
0
L
21.06.26
H2H
Maguary PE
Piauí
2
0
W
Last matches: Maguary PE
04.07.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Iguatu
2
3
L
01.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
3
0
W
H2H at home: Maguary PE
21.06.26
H2H
Maguary PE
Piauí
2
0
W
Last matches: Piauí
01.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Altos
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Fluminense PI
2
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
H2H away: Piauí
21.06.26
H2H
Maguary PE
Piauí
2
0
L

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)