BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Conselheiro Galvao
Madureira
Match Timeline
Portuguesa RJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
56'
Matheus Iacovelli
Portuguesa RJ
82'
M. Fashanu
Madureira

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Madureira Win 35%
Draw 16.2%
Portuguesa RJ Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Madureira0.91
Portuguesa RJ1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Madureira Madureira
WWDLW
8 GF / 11 GA
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
WLDWL
11 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Madureira Madureira 7 matches
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 7 matches
Madureira Statistic Portuguesa RJ
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 1
8 Goals For 11
11 Goals Against 4
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
4 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Portuguesa RJ's more proactive style and Madureira's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Madureira have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Portuguesa RJ carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 12 points while Madureira sit 5 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Portuguesa RJ having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Portuguesa RJ.

Madureira Analysis

Madureira sit 5 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Joao Carlos (2 goals), Wallace Camilo (2 goals), Adriano (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Portuguesa RJ Analysis

Portuguesa RJ come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 12 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 11:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lohan (5 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (3 goals), Anderson Rosa (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Madureira won 3 times, Portuguesa RJ won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:7 from Madureira's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.8%)
H2H summary: Madureira wins 3, draws 6, Portuguesa RJ wins 2
Last matches: Madureira
06.06.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
1
3
L
09.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
12.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
3
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
H2H: Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
12.08.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
05.08.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
1
W
23.05.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
26.01.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
19.01.25
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
2
1
L
05.02.24
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
20.02.22
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
21.03.21
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
18.01.20
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
Last matches: Madureira
06.06.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
3
1
W
H2H at home: Madureira
12.08.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
23.05.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
26.01.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
05.02.24
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
21.03.21
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
18.01.20
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
3
1
W
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W
H2H away: Portuguesa RJ
12.08.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
23.05.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
26.01.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
W
05.02.24
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
21.03.21
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
L
18.01.20
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
L