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BRAZIL › SERIE B
18.10.2026 19:00

CRB vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 72%
Draw 3.5%
Botafogo SP Win 24.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.39
Botafogo SP1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
51 GF / 47 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
37 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
19
BTTS Yes
17
21
Over 2.5
14
6
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 33 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 33 matches
CRB Statistic Botafogo SP
15 Wins 11
7 Draws 8
11 Losses 14
51 Goals For 37
47 Goals Against 38
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
19 BTTS Yes 17
26 Over 1.5 20
21 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 11
6 Shots On Goal 3.7
18.3 Total Shots 12.82
5.48 Corners 6.3
52.1% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by CRB's more proactive style and Botafogo SP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Botafogo SP in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo SP having the stronger overall control. CRB arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 51 points compared to Botafogo SP in 16 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo SP.

CRB Analysis

CRB are currently 7 in the standings with 51 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 49:45 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mikael (14 goals), Crystopher (5 goals), Thiaguinho (4 goals), with creative support from Mikael (5 assists), Crystopher (5 assists), Dadá Belmonte (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP sit 16 with 38 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 36:38 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (8 goals), Hygor (4 goals), Patrick Brey (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (5 assists), Patrick Brey (4 assists), Kelvin (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 7 times, Botafogo SP won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:8 from CRB's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-1-4-1 / Botafogo SP 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: CRB wins 7, draws 2, Botafogo SP wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7
CRB Home
33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 10 13 10 40:39 1 43
D L L D D
14 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
15 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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