WORLD › UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

27.08.2026 16:00

Maccabi Tel Aviv

1 - 1

FC Lugano

Adjarabet Arena

Referee: D. Schlager

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Match Timeline

FC Lugano

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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VAR

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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 60.6%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds -

1 agree / 0 disagree

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	60.6%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	62.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	69.6%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Maccabi Tel Aviv Win 35.6%

Draw 3.8%

FC Lugano Win 60.6%

Expected Goals (xG)

Maccabi Tel Aviv1.68

FC Lugano1.8

Recent Form (Last 5)

Maccabi Tel Aviv

WWDLW

16 GF / 9 GA

FC Lugano

WLDWL

36 GF / 19 GA

Key Stats

Average Goals Scored

2.25

1.13

Average Goals Conceded

1.19

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

0.67

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 matches

FC Lugano 16 matches

Maccabi Tel Aviv	Statistic	FC Lugano
5	Wins	10
0	Draws	2
3	Losses	4
16	Goals For	36
9	Goals Against	19
2	Avg Goals Scored	2.25
1.13	Avg Goals Conceded	1.19
3	BTTS Yes	11
5	Over 1.5	14
5	Over 2.5	12
3	Over 3.5	7
3	Clean Sheets	5
2	Failed To Score	0
0.67	Shots On Goal	7
1.83	Total Shots	18.63
1.17	Corners	6
18%	Ball Possession	59.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 0 times, FC Lugano won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Maccabi Tel Aviv's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)

Predicted formations: Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-3-3 / FC Lugano 3-5-2

H2H summary: Maccabi Tel Aviv wins 0, draws 1, FC Lugano wins 1

Standings

League Round

#	Team	G	Form
1	Aarhus	0:0	?
2	Ajax	0:0	W W D W W
3	Atalanta	0:0	W D
4	Borac Banja Luka	0:0	W W W W D
5	SC Braga	0:0	D W D W W
6	Brann	0:0	W D W L W
7	Brighton	0:0	W D
8	FC Copenhagen	0:0	W D W W W
9	FK Crvena Zvezda	0:0	?
10	CSKA Sofia	0:0	?
11	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:0	?
12	SC Freiburg	0:0	W W
13	Gent	0:0	W D D W W
14	Getafe	0:0	L W
15	HNK Hajduk Split	0:0	W D W W
16	Heart Of Midlothian	0:0	W D
17	FC Iberia 1999	0:0	?
18	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0	W D W W
19	FK Jablonec	0:0	W L W W W
20	Kairat Almaty	0:0	?
21	Kauno Žalgiris	0:0	?
22	KuPS	0:0	W D
23	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0:0	W L
24	FC Lugano Away	0:0	D W D W W
25	FC Midtjylland	0:0	W W W W
26	Mjallby AIF	0:0	?
27	Monaco	0:0	W W
28	FC Nordsjaelland	0:0	W W W W W
29	Pafos	0:0	W D
30	Panathinaikos	0:0	W D W D D
31	Riga	0:0	W D D W W
32	St. Truiden	0:0	?
33	FC Thun	0:0	?
34	Trabzonspor	0:0	?
35	Twente	0:0	W L D W
36	Universitatea Craiova	0:0	?

Playoffs