Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.4%
|
2.56 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.22 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.49 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santa Fe
37 matches
Deportes Tolima
42 matches
| Santa Fe | Statistic | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 19 |
| 17 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 54 | Goals For | 54 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.98 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.53 | Shots On Goal | 4.69 |
| 12.25 | Total Shots | 12.71 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.79 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 56.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportes Tolima. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Santa Fe have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 29 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 29:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Rodallega (13 goals), N. Bustos (6 goals), Omar Fernández (5 goals), with creative support from Omar Fernández (8 assists), N. Bustos (5 assists), F. Fagúndez (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Deportes Tolima are currently 6 in the standings with 31 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 27:17 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luis Sandoval (8 goals), Juan Torres (6 goals), Adrián Parra (5 goals), with creative support from Juan Torres (4 assists), Sebastián Guzmán (4 assists), Luis Sandoval (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Fe won 6 times, Deportes Tolima won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Santa Fe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Away
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 7 |
Santa Fe
Home
|
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
W
D
D
|