MEXICO LIGA MX
12.09.2026 03:10
Estadio Caliente
Club Tijuana
Match Timeline
Club Queretaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Daniel Parra
Club Queretaro
30'
Mateo Coronel · Assist: Santiago Homenchenko
Club Queretaro
🔄
56'
Yael Padilla ↔ Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze
Club Tijuana
🔄
62'
Paulo Victor ↔ Carlos Villanueva
Club Queretaro
🔄
67'
Gilberto Mora ↔ Aldahir Perez
Club Tijuana
🟨
69'
Bayron Duarte
Club Queretaro
🔄
75'
Bayron Duarte ↔ Iker Benito Sánchez
Club Queretaro
🔄
82'
Francisco González ↔ Aarón Mejía
Club Tijuana
🔄
85'
Mateo Coronel ↔ Alejandro Alcalá Solorio
Club Queretaro
🔄
86'
Carlo Garcia ↔ Bernardo Parra
Club Queretaro
🔄
86'
Enzo Giménez ↔ Erik Duenas
Club Queretaro
🟨
88'
Ali Ávila
Club Queretaro
🟨
90+6'
Santiago Homenchenko
Club Queretaro
VAR
90+8'
Jackson Porozo
Club Tijuana
🟨
90+8'
Diego Reyes
Club Queretaro

Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.4%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.4%
1.30
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.87
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.1%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Club Tijuana Win 47%
Draw 10.6%
Club Queretaro Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Tijuana1.45
Club Queretaro1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
WWDLW
14 GF / 10 GA
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
WLDWL
14 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
3.67
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 8 matches
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 9 matches
Club Tijuana Statistic Club Queretaro
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
14 Goals For 14
10 Goals Against 9
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
3.67 Shots On Goal 4
11.5 Total Shots 13.5
2.83 Corners 4
43.8% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Queretaro. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Tijuana expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Club Queretaro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Queretaro having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Club Tijuana Analysis

Club Tijuana come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 10:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Gilberto Mora (2 goals), Mourad El Ghezouani (2 goals), Ramiro Árciga (1 goals), with creative support from Gilberto Mora (1 assists), Yael Padilla (1 assists), Jesús Vega (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Club Queretaro Analysis

Club Queretaro are currently 6 in the standings with 10 points from 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:7 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ali Ávila (2 goals), Santiago Homenchenko (2 goals), Carlo Adriano García (1 goals), with creative support from Bayron Duarte (1 assists), Alejandro Alcala (1 assists), Iker Benito (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Tijuana won 6 times, Club Queretaro won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Club Tijuana's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1 / Club Queretaro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Club Tijuana wins 6, draws 4, Club Queretaro wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
3 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
4 7 4 2 1 12:6 6 14
W D W W D
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
8 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
9 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
10 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
W L D D W
11 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
12 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L D W W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L W D L D
17 7 0 1 6 4:12 -8 1
L D L L L
18 7 0 0 7 3:21 -18 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)