MEXICO LIGA MX
12.09.2026 03:00
Estadio Banorte
Atlante FC
Live Timeline
CF Pachuca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Christian Rivera
CF Pachuca
🟨
12'
Eduardo Tercero
Atlante FC
13'
Salomón Rondón
CF Pachuca
🟨
15'
Robert Nunes
CF Pachuca
20'
Robert Nunes
CF Pachuca
🟨
26'
Martín Fernández
Atlante FC

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.92
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.6%
1.40
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.92
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.4%
1.83
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Atlante FC Win 32.4%
Draw 27.7%
CF Pachuca Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlante FC1.21
CF Pachuca1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlante FC Atlante FC
WWDLW
14 GF / 18 GA
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WLDWL
13 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
8
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
4.14
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlante FC Atlante FC 11 matches
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 8 matches
Atlante FC Statistic CF Pachuca
1 Wins 3
7 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
14 Goals For 13
18 Goals Against 9
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
8 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
4.14 Shots On Goal 3.71
11.71 Total Shots 14.29
3.57 Corners 4.43
39% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlante FC expected to line up in 5-3-2 and CF Pachuca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CF Pachuca having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CF Pachuca. CF Pachuca arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Atlante FC Analysis

With 6 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Atlante FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 6:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jhojan Julio (1 goals), Luis Calzadilla (1 goals), Eugenio Pizzuto (1 goals), with creative support from Jhojan Julio (2 assists), Walter Portales (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

CF Pachuca Analysis

CF Pachuca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 5 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 8:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Salomón Rondón (5 goals), Elías Montiel (1 goals), with creative support from Oussama Idrissi (2 assists), Elías Montiel (1 assists), Carlos Sánchez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Atlante FC won 1 times, CF Pachuca won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from Atlante FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.3%)
Predicted formations: Atlante FC 5-3-2 / CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atlante FC wins 1, draws 0, CF Pachuca wins 0

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 12:2 10 16
W W W W D
2 7 4 2 1 12:6 6 14
W D W W D
3 6 4 1 1 12:4 8 13
W W D W L
4 6 4 1 1 10:7 3 13
W L W D W
5 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
D L W W L
6 7 4 0 3 12:11 1 12
W W L L L
7 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
W L D D W
8 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
W L D W W
9 6 3 1 2 9:9 0 10
L W W D L
10 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L D W W W
11 6 3 0 3 13:10 3 9
L L W W L
12 7 2 2 3 10:8 2 8
W D D L L
13 7 2 2 3 9:12 -3 8
D L D L L
14 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
D D L D W
15 7 1 3 3 9:11 -2 6
D D W L L
16 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L W D L D
17 7 0 1 6 4:12 -8 1
L D L L L
18 7 0 0 7 3:21 -18 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)