ISRAEL › LIGAT HA'AL
16.05.2026 17:30
Bloomfield Stadium
Referee: G. Laibuvitz
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Match Timeline
Beitar Jerusalem
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Mohamed Camara
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🟨
37'
Emir Sahiti
Maccabi Tel Aviv
VAR
40'
Emir Sahiti
Maccabi Tel Aviv
⚽
51'
D. Peretz · Assist: E. Sahiti
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
60'
Z. Ben Shimol ↔ T. Muzie
Beitar Jerusalem
⚽
60'
O. Atzili · Assist: Y. Shua
Beitar Jerusalem
🔄
66'
S. Jehezkel ↔ N. Ben Harush
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
66'
S. Abu Farhi ↔ E. Madmon
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
66'
E. Sahiti ↔ K. Andrade
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
76'
L. Yarin ↔ D. Micha
Beitar Jerusalem
🔄
76'
Y. Shua ↔ E. Gonzalez
Beitar Jerusalem
⚽
80'
T. Muzie · Assist: E. Gonzalez
Beitar Jerusalem
🔄
84'
I. Shahar ↔ I. Noy
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
84'
M. Camara ↔ I. Ben Hamo
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
87'
O. Atzili ↔ A. Tavares
Beitar Jerusalem
🟨
88'
Elad Madmon
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win 44.9%
Draw 9%
Beitar Jerusalem Win 46.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.51
Beitar Jerusalem1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
WWDLW
78 GF / 66 GA
Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem
WLDWL
85 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
2.3
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
26
BTTS Yes
25
29
Over 2.5
26
3.07
Shots on Goal
3.49

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 46 matches
Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 37 matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv Statistic Beitar Jerusalem
21 Wins 24
10 Draws 8
15 Losses 5
78 Goals For 85
66 Goals Against 45
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.3
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
26 BTTS Yes 25
36 Over 1.5 30
29 Over 2.5 26
22 Over 3.5 16
12 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 6
3.07 Shots On Goal 3.49
8.37 Total Shots 9.62
3.43 Corners 3.22
36.5% Ball Possession 37.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Beitar Jerusalem. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Maccabi Tel Aviv Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 49 points from 26 games, Maccabi Tel Aviv bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 14 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 55:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Peretz (15 goals), I. Shahar (12 goals), Saied Abu Farchi (7 goals), with creative support from Roy Revivo (12 assists), S. Jehezkel (5 assists), I. Shahar (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Beitar Jerusalem Analysis

Beitar Jerusalem come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 57 points after 26 matches. The return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 61:29, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Atzili (14 goals), Y. Shua (14 goals), A. Yona (8 goals), with creative support from Y. Shua (7 assists), O. Atzili (6 assists), Timothy Muzie (6 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 6 times, Beitar Jerusalem won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:26 from Maccabi Tel Aviv's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91%)
Predicted formations: Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-2-3-1 / Beitar Jerusalem 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Maccabi Tel Aviv wins 6, draws 3, Beitar Jerusalem wins 6

Standings

Premier League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 7 5 79:38 41 79
L W W D W
2 36 22 10 4 78:40 38 76
D D W D L
3 36 19 9 8 75:46 29 66
D L L W D
4 36 18 8 10 55:38 17 60
D L L W D
5 36 15 10 11 66:47 19 55
W W D L W
6 36 9 13 14 48:57 -9 40
D D D L L
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification