Macarthur
Match Timeline
Wellington Phoenix
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.1%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Macarthur Win 44%
Draw 15.1%
Wellington Phoenix Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macarthur1.5
Wellington Phoenix1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macarthur
WWDLW
33 GF / 44 GA
Wellington Phoenix
WLDWL
36 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
16
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
17
4.12
Shots on Goal
4.8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Macarthur
25 matches
Wellington Phoenix
25 matches
| Macarthur | Statistic | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 33 | Goals For | 36 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.12 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 13.84 | Total Shots | 12.84 |
| 5.44 | Corners | 5.56 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 49.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macarthur won 6 times, Wellington Phoenix won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Macarthur's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Macarthur 4-2-3-1 / Wellington Phoenix 4-4-2
Missing players: Macarthur 4, Wellington Phoenix 3
H2H summary: Macarthur wins 6, draws 1, Wellington Phoenix wins 8
Stats
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
Shots on Goal
9
9
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
13
13
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Macarthur
Formation
Wellington Phoenix
A. Robinson
W. McKay
D. Da Silva
M. Jurman
C. Talbot
O. Randazzo
L. Brattan
L. Vickery
A. Caceres
D. Bosnjak
M. Duke
J. Oluwayemi
T. Payne
B. Tuiloma
I. Hughes
L. Kelly-Heald
S. Kartum
F. Conchie
P. Retre
K. Nagasawa
I. Eze
C. Piper
Macarthur
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Robinson
G
32
W. McKay
D
3
D. Da Silva
D
↓ 83'
5
M. Jurman
D
⚽ 6'
🟨 89'
25
C. Talbot
D
↓ 82'
17
O. Randazzo
M
26
L. Brattan
M
⚽ 34'
8
L. Vickery
M
↓ 71'
10
A. Caceres
M
24
D. Bosnjak
M
⚽ 22'
↓ 78'
🟨 51'
15
M. Duke
F
↓ 78'
Substitutes
12
F. Kurto
G
22
L. Rose
M
28
H. Sawyer
F
↑ 78'
11
B. Oliveira
F
⚽ 80'
↑ 71'
19
H. Politidis
D
↑ 82'
6
T. Uskok
D
↑ 83'
35
H. Oliveira
🎯 80'
↑ 78'
Wellington Phoenix
4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Oluwayemi
G
6
T. Payne
D
↓ 71'
28
B. Tuiloma
D
15
I. Hughes
D
18
L. Kelly-Heald
D
↓ 90'
16
S. Kartum
M
↓ 46'
5
F. Conchie
M
↓ 46'
8
P. Retre
M
🟨 63'
25
K. Nagasawa
M
↓ 71'
🟨 47'
7
I. Eze
F
3
C. Piper
F
Substitutes
30
A. Kelly-Heald
9
S. Singh
M
↑ 71'
29
L. Brooke-Smith
F
↑ 46'
11
C. Armiento
F
20
R. Najjarine
F
↑ 46'
12
D. Edwards
D
↑ 90'
27
M. Sheridan
D
↑ 71'
Last matches: Macarthur
19.04.26
A-L
Macarthur
Adelaide United
1
3
L
12.04.26
A-L
Macarthur
Perth Glory
1
3
L
02.04.26
A-L
Macarthur
Newcastle Jets
3
2
W
21.03.26
A-L
Macarthur
Auckland
2
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Macarthur
Melbourne Victory
1
4
L
04.03.26
A-L
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
28.02.26
A-L
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
4
L
22.02.26
A-L
Macarthur
Newcastle Jets
0
1
L
06.02.26
A-L
Macarthur
Perth Glory
2
2
D
30.01.26
A-L
Macarthur
Adelaide United
1
1
D
24.01.26
A-L
Macarthur
Melbourne City
6
2
W
18.01.26
A-L
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
10.01.26
A-L
Macarthur
Sydney
0
3
L
05.01.26
A-L
Macarthur
Auckland
1
1
D
01.01.26
A-L
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
0
W
26.12.25
A-L
Macarthur
Newcastle Jets
5
4
W
23.12.25
A-L
Macarthur
Melbourne City
1
1
D
19.12.25
A-L
Macarthur
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Macarthur
Melbourne Victory
0
0
D
30.11.25
A-L
Macarthur
Perth Glory
0
2
L
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
18.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
05.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
06.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
11.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
H2H: Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
4
0
W
22.11.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
1
W
20.01.25
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
14.12.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
1
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
3
0
L
18.02.24
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
18.12.23
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0
3
L
29.04.23
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
12.02.23
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
2
1
W
06.11.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
4
1
L
31.08.22
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
W
06.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
3
1
L
21.11.21
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
04.06.21
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0
3
L
28.03.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
1
W
Last matches: Macarthur
02.04.26
A-L
Macarthur
Newcastle Jets
3
2
W
04.03.26
A-L
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
28.02.26
A-L
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
4
L
06.02.26
A-L
Macarthur
Perth Glory
2
2
D
24.01.26
A-L
Macarthur
Melbourne City
6
2
W
10.01.26
A-L
Macarthur
Sydney
0
3
L
05.01.26
A-L
Macarthur
Auckland
1
1
D
19.12.25
A-L
Macarthur
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Macarthur
Melbourne Victory
0
0
D
30.11.25
A-L
Macarthur
Perth Glory
0
2
L
01.11.25
A-L
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
1
D
27.10.25
A-L
Macarthur
Adelaide United
2
1
W
H2H at home: Macarthur
24.04.26
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
4
0
W
20.01.25
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
18.02.24
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
18.12.23
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0
3
L
29.04.23
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
12.02.23
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
2
1
W
31.08.22
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
W
21.11.21
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
04.06.21
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0
3
L
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
05.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
02.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
18.10.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
2
D
H2H away: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
4
0
L
20.01.25
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
W
18.02.24
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
W
18.12.23
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0
3
W
29.04.23
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
W
12.02.23
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
2
1
L
31.08.22
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
L
21.11.21
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
04.06.21
H2H
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0
3
W
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Macarthur
Home
|
26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 8 |
Wellington Phoenix
Away
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Missing Players
Macarthur
4 missing
-
Ji Dong-Won
OUT
Missing Fixture
Ankle Injury
-
K. Popovic
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
S. Grzan
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
C. Ikonomidis
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
Wellington Phoenix
3 missing
-
N. Walker
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
M. James
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
A. Rufer
OUT
Missing Fixture
Yellow Cards