Macarthur
Match Timeline
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.1%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Macarthur Win 44%
Draw 15.1%
Wellington Phoenix Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Macarthur1.5
Wellington Phoenix1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Macarthur
WWDLW
33 GF / 44 GA
Wellington Phoenix
WLDWL
36 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
16
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
17
4.12
Shots on Goal
4.8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Macarthur
25 matches
Wellington Phoenix
25 matches
| Macarthur | Statistic | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 33 | Goals For | 36 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.12 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 13.84 | Total Shots | 12.84 |
| 5.44 | Corners | 5.56 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 49.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macarthur won 6 times, Wellington Phoenix won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Macarthur's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Macarthur 4-2-3-1 / Wellington Phoenix 4-4-2
Missing players: Macarthur 4, Wellington Phoenix 3
H2H summary: Macarthur wins 6, draws 1, Wellington Phoenix wins 8
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Macarthur
Home
|
26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 8 |
Wellington Phoenix
Away
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)