Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Lyon
Lens
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lyon
47 matches
Lens
38 matches
| Lyon | Statistic | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 25 |
| 8 | Draws | 5 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 81 | Goals For | 78 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 22 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.98 | Shots On Goal | 5.89 |
| 13.02 | Total Shots | 16.71 |
| 5.43 | Corners | 6.32 |
| 56.6% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lens. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Lyon come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lyon expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Lens in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lens having the stronger overall control.
Operating from 4 place with 60 points from 33 games, Lyon bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a 53:36 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on C. Tolisso (11 goals), P. Sulc (11 goals), Endrick (5 goals), with creative support from Endrick (7 assists), Afonso Moreira (7 assists), C. Tolisso (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Lens come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 67 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 21 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 62:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Odsonne Édouard (12 goals), F. Thauvin (10 goals), W. Said (10 goals), with creative support from Adrien Thomasson (9 assists), Matthieu Udol (7 assists), F. Thauvin (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lyon won 6 times, Lens won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Lyon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Lyon
4
4
7
8
5
2
Lineups
Lyon
Toulouse
Lyon
Rennes
Lyon
Auxerre
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Angers
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Marseille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lyon
Nice
Lyon
Nantes
Lyon
Laval
Lyon
Lille
Lyon
PAOK
Lyon
Metz
Lens
Nice
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Nantes
Lens
Nice
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Lens
Rouen
Lens
Lille
Lens
Angers
Lens
Lorient
Lens
Metz
Lens
Lyon
Lens
Strasbourg
Lens
Monaco
Lens
Paris FC
Lens
Rennes
Lens
Estac Troyes
Lens
Le Havre
Lens
Marseille
Lyon
Rennes
Lyon
Auxerre
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Nice
Lyon
Laval
Lyon
Lille
Lyon
PAOK
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
Saint-Cyr Collonges
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
GO Ahead Eagles
Lyon
Nantes
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lyon
FC Basel 1893
Lyon
Toulouse
Lens
Nice
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
Lille
Lens
Lorient
Lens
Lyon
Lens
Strasbourg
Lens
Paris FC
Lens
Estac Troyes
Lens
Marseille
Lens
Sochaux
Lens
Toulouse
Lens
Nantes
Lens
Angers
Lens
Monaco
Lens
Metz
Lens
Auxerre
Lens
Rennes
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Le Havre
Lens
Toulouse
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Lens
Away
|
34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Lyon
Home
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|