Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Luverdense
7 matches
Aparecidense
7 matches
| Luverdense | Statistic | Aparecidense |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 5 | Goals For | 10 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Aparecidense's more proactive style and Luverdense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aparecidense. Luverdense have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aparecidense having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Luverdense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 8 points from 7 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:9, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Pedro Bortoluzo (2 goals), Bady (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Aparecidense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 11 points after 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Carlos Baje (3 goals), Ivan Junior (2 goals), Luan (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Luverdense won 3 times, Aparecidense won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Luverdense's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Luverdense
ABC
Luverdense
Guaporé
Luverdense
Guaporé
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Inhumas
Luverdense
Brasiliense
Luverdense
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Gama
Luverdense
Gama
Luverdense
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Brasiliense
Luverdense
Inhumas
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
Goiânia
Luverdense
Goianésia
Luverdense
Mixto
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Gama
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
Inhumas
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
Inhumas
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
Gama
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Mixto
Aparecidense
Goianésia
Aparecidense
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
Goiânia
Luverdense
ABC
Luverdense
Guaporé
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Inhumas
Luverdense
Gama
Luverdense
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Brasiliense
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
Goiânia
Luverdense
Mixto
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Porto Velho
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Goianésia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Gama
Aparecidense
Inhumas
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
Mixto
Aparecidense
Goiânia
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
Goianésia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 17 | 26 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Luverdense
Home
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Aparecidense
Away
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
| 5 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:20 | -17 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
L
|