SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
--.--.---- --:--
Klostergardens Idrottsplats
Lund
Match Timeline
Skövde AIK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
A. Nilsson
Lund
45'
A. Mehmedagic
Lund
🔄
46'
E. Strom ↔ E. Olofsson
Skövde AIK
🔄
53'
A. Remmerfelt ↔ V. Linnarsson
Skövde AIK
🔄
56'
A. Mehmedagic ↔ A. Nygaard
Lund
🔄
56'
A. Wihlborg Costa ↔ M. Bojang
Lund
🔄
62'
A. Nilsson ↔ A. Mehmeti
Lund
🟨
63'
O. Lennerskog
Skövde AIK
🔄
66'
E. Nordstrom ↔ M. Agerborn
Skövde AIK
🟨
74'
M. Bojang
Lund
🔄
76'
D. Olofsson ↔ J. Strid
Lund
🔄
76'
E. Lindman ↔ F. Akdemir
Lund
🟨
82'
L. Nicklasson
Lund
🟨
89'
I. Orajarvi
Lund
90'
M. Agerborn
Skövde AIK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lund Win 74.1%
Draw 4.4%
Skövde AIK Win 21.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lund1.67
Skövde AIK1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lund Lund
WWDLW
38 GF / 26 GA
Skövde AIK Skövde AIK
WLDWL
34 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
12
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lund Lund 22 matches
Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 21 matches
Lund Statistic Skövde AIK
10 Wins 8
6 Draws 8
6 Losses 5
38 Goals For 34
26 Goals Against 33
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
12 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Lund's more proactive style and Skövde AIK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Skövde AIK. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Skövde AIK having the stronger overall control. Skövde AIK arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Lund Analysis

Lund arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 23 points after 13 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 24:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Nilsson (7 goals), F. Akdemir (5 goals), A. Nygaard (2 goals), with creative support from R. Wendt (2 assists), E. Lindman (2 assists), A. Nilsson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Skövde AIK Analysis

With 16 points from 13 games and a place of 10, Skövde AIK still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats with a 10:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Basic (2 goals), E. Skillermo (2 goals), H. Forsgard (2 goals), with creative support from L. Land (1 assists), O. Lennerskog (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Lund won 5 times, Skövde AIK won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:15 from Lund's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Lund wins 5, draws 0, Skövde AIK wins 6

Lineups

Lund
Formation
Skövde AIK
A. Alexandersson
A. Alexandersson
B. Velickovic
B. Velickovic
L. Nicklasson
L. Nicklasson
A. Nilsson
A. Nilsson
A. Wihlborg Costa
A. Wihlborg Costa
E. Lindman
E. Lindman
D. Olofsson
D. Olofsson
A. Mehmedagic
A. Mehmedagic
J. Jacobsson
J. Jacobsson
G. Bath Saganger
G. Bath Saganger
I. Orajarvi
I. Orajarvi
A. Basic
A. Basic
O. Lennerskog
O. Lennerskog
E. Skillermo
E. Skillermo
S. Sorman
S. Sorman
L. Svensson
L. Svensson
A. Ibrahimovic
A. Ibrahimovic
E. Strom
E. Strom
E. Nordstrom
E. Nordstrom
A. Remmerfelt
A. Remmerfelt
A. Sodeliden
A. Sodeliden
L. Land
L. Land
Lund 1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Alexandersson
2
B. Velickovic
3
L. Nicklasson
🟨 82'
7
A. Nilsson
⚽ 15' ↓ 62'
20
A. Wihlborg Costa
↓ 56'
10
E. Lindman
↓ 76'
16
D. Olofsson
↓ 76'
D
11
A. Mehmedagic
⚽ 45' ↓ 56'
14
J. Jacobsson
15
G. Bath Saganger
26
I. Orajarvi
🟨 89'
Substitutes
32
T. Fordham
4
H. Elwan
12
J. Strid
↑ 76'
D
18
F. Akdemir
↑ 76'
9
A. Nygaard
↑ 56'
F
99
M. Bojang
↑ 56' 🟨 74'
F
25
A. Mehmeti
↑ 62'
Skövde AIK 3-1-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
4
A. Basic
D
8
O. Lennerskog
🟨 63'
M
7
E. Skillermo
F
19
S. Sorman
D
14
L. Svensson
D
25
A. Ibrahimovic
6
E. Strom
↓ 46'
10
E. Nordstrom
↓ 66'
13
A. Remmerfelt
↓ 53'
16
A. Sodeliden
18
L. Land
Substitutes
30
G. Torstensson
9
M. Agerborn
⚽ 90' ↑ 66'
12
V. Linnarsson
↑ 53'
15
E. Yoro
22
E. Olofsson
↑ 46'
Last matches: Lund
18.06.26
Ett
Lund
Jonkopings Sodra
0
0
D
12.06.26
Ett
Lund
AFC Malmo
1
4
L
07.06.26
Ett
Lund
Kristianstad
1
1
D
03.06.26
Ett
Lund
Olympic
3
1
W
22.05.26
Ett
Lund
Eskilsminne
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ett
Lund
Utsikten
5
0
W
13.05.26
Ett
Lund
Laholm
3
4
L
09.05.26
Ett
Lund
Trollhättan
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ett
Lund
Hässleholms IF
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
Lund
Tvååker
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ett
Lund
Angelholms FF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ett
Lund
Atvidabergs FF
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ett
Lund
Rosengård
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
Lund
Kristianstad
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Lund
Angelholms FF
4
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Lund
Ariana
1
3
L
03.03.26
Fri
Lund
IFK Trelleborg
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Lund
Rosengård
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Lund
Eskilsminne
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Lund
Nosaby
2
1
W
Last matches: Skövde AIK
18.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Hässleholms IF
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Rosengård
0
3
L
07.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Trelleborg
0
4
L
01.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Jonkopings Sodra
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
AFC Malmo
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Eskilsminne
1
1
D
13.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Utsikten
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Angelholms FF
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Atvidabergs FF
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Trollhättan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Laholm
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Kristianstad
0
0
D
06.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Tvååker
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Norrby IF
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
IF Karlstad
3
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Jonkopings Sodra
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Trollhättan
1
5
L
28.02.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Skara
6
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Tidaholms GoIF
6
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
IFK Skövde
1
1
D
H2H: Lund vs Skövde AIK
27.06.26
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
W
11.10.25
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
L
19.06.25
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
3
0
W
02.10.21
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
1
5
L
24.06.21
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
L
11.10.20
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
2
0
L
16.08.20
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
0
3
L
24.08.19
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
W
09.06.19
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
L
08.09.18
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
1
0
W
21.04.18
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
0
2
W
Last matches: Lund
12.06.26
Ett
Lund
AFC Malmo
1
4
L
22.05.26
Ett
Lund
Eskilsminne
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ett
Lund
Utsikten
5
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
Lund
Tvååker
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ett
Lund
Atvidabergs FF
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Lund
Angelholms FF
4
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Lund
Ariana
1
3
L
03.03.26
Fri
Lund
IFK Trelleborg
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Lund
Rosengård
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Lund
Nosaby
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Lund
Hässleholms IF
3
2
W
H2H at home: Lund
27.06.26
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
W
19.06.25
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
3
0
W
02.10.21
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
1
5
L
16.08.20
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
0
3
L
24.08.19
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
W
08.09.18
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
1
0
W
Last matches: Skövde AIK
14.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Rosengård
0
3
L
07.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Trelleborg
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Eskilsminne
1
1
D
13.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Utsikten
3
2
W
24.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Trollhättan
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Kristianstad
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Norrby IF
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
IF Karlstad
3
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Jonkopings Sodra
1
2
L
H2H away: Skövde AIK
27.06.26
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
L
19.06.25
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
3
0
L
02.10.21
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
1
5
W
16.08.20
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
0
3
W
24.08.19
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
L
08.09.18
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
1
0
L

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 9 5 0 33:12 21 32
D W W W W
2 14 8 3 3 28:16 12 27
W L W W W
3 14 7 5 2 30:18 12 26
D W W D D
4
Lund Home
14 7 5 2 26:16 10 26
W D L D W
5 14 6 4 4 23:19 4 22
D L W W L
6 14 6 3 5 27:22 5 21
W D L W W
7 14 6 3 5 17:19 -2 21
L W W D L
8 15 6 2 7 25:28 -3 20
W L W L L
9 14 6 1 7 22:24 -2 19
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:15 5 18
L D L W L
11 14 3 7 4 22:22 0 16
D L W D W
12 14 3 7 4 11:20 -9 16
L D L L W
13 15 3 5 7 16:24 -8 14
L D L D D
14 14 4 1 9 21:29 -8 13
W W L L L
15 14 2 7 5 18:26 -8 13
D L D L D
16 14 1 1 12 10:39 -29 4
L L L L L