Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
66.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
91.5%
|
- |
Lugazi
SC Villa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lugazi
23 matches
SC Villa
22 matches
| Lugazi | Statistic | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 12 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 4 |
| 16 | Goals For | 30 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.55 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around SC Villa's more proactive style and Lugazi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lugazi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. SC Villa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 45 points while Lugazi sit 12 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring SC Villa. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SC Villa having the stronger overall control.
Lugazi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 20 points from 23 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 16:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Mungudit (4 goals), A. Kalanzi (3 goals), A. Mulindi (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 45 points from 23 outings, SC Villa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 32:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Ssebuufu (7 goals), N. Yiga (5 goals), A. Ssemakula (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Lugazi won 0 times, SC Villa won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Lugazi's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Lugazi
Maroons
Lugazi
Express
Lugazi
BUL
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
Kitara
Lugazi
Calvary
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
KCCA
Lugazi
URA
Lugazi
NEC
Lugazi
Vipers
Lugazi
UPDF
Lugazi
Police
Lugazi
SC Villa
Lugazi
BUL
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Lugazi
NEC
Lugazi
Vipers
Lugazi
Police
SC Villa
UPDF
SC Villa
NEC
SC Villa
Mbarara City
SC Villa
BUL
SC Villa
Kitara
SC Villa
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
Vipers
SC Villa
KCCA
SC Villa
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
Police
SC Villa
Express
SC Villa
Maroons
SC Villa
URA
SC Villa
Lugazi
SC Villa
Mbarara City
SC Villa
BUL
SC Villa
Express
SC Villa
Calvary
SC Villa
URA
SC Villa
Maroons
Lugazi
Maroons
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Kitara
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
KCCA
Lugazi
NEC
Lugazi
UPDF
Lugazi
BUL
Lugazi
Vipers
Lugazi
Police
Lugazi
Express
Lugazi
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
URA
Lugazi
Calvary
SC Villa
NEC
SC Villa
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Kitara
SC Villa
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
Police
SC Villa
URA
SC Villa
BUL
SC Villa
Express
SC Villa
Maroons
SC Villa
Vipers
SC Villa
UPDF
SC Villa
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
KCCA
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
SC Villa
Away
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 |
Lugazi
Home
|
30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|