CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportes Limache Win 31.8%
Draw 13.4%
Nublense Win 54.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Limache1.63
Nublense1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
WWDLW
41 GF / 34 GA
Nublense Nublense
WLDWL
28 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
15
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 21 matches
Nublense Nublense 21 matches
Deportes Limache Statistic Nublense
8 Wins 9
5 Draws 8
8 Losses 4
41 Goals For 28
34 Goals Against 24
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
15 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 13
15 Over 2.5 7
12 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 4
11.44 Total Shots 12.63
3.94 Corners 4.5
45.1% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Deportes Limache's more proactive style and Nublense's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nublense. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nublense having the stronger overall control. Deportes Limache have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Deportes Limache Analysis

Deportes Limache sit 9 with 21 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 31:26, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Daniel Castro (4 goals), Gonzalo Sosa (3 goals), Jean Meneses (1 goals), with creative support from Daniel Castro (3 assists), Jean Meneses (3 assists), Marcelo Flores (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Nublense Analysis

Nublense sit 8 with 22 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, while the 18:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ignacio Jeraldino (2 goals), Matías Plaza (1 goals), Lorenzo Reyes (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Plaza (1 assists), Gabriel Graciani (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Limache won 0 times, Nublense won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Deportes Limache's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Limache 4-4-2 / Nublense 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportes Limache wins 0, draws 2, Nublense wins 1
Last matches: Deportes Limache
25.07.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Colo Colo
1
3
L
06.07.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
4
1
W
01.07.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
27.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Deportes Iquique
1
4
L
23.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
3
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Concepción
2
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
1
4
L
17.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Palestino
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Cobresal
5
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Everton de Vina
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Huachipato
3
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
O'Higgins
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Nublense
1
1
D
Last matches: Nublense
26.07.26
Pri
Nublense
Palestino
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
25.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
4
2
W
21.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
0
1
L
14.06.26
Pri
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
29.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Cobresal
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Colo Colo
2
6
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Nublense
D. La Serena
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Nublense
Concepción
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Nublense
U. Catolica
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Nublense
A. Italiano
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
H2H: Deportes Limache vs Nublense
08.02.26
H2H
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
25.07.25
H2H
Deportes Limache
Nublense
0
1
L
22.02.25
H2H
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportes Limache
06.07.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
4
1
W
01.07.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
27.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Deportes Iquique
1
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
4
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Huachipato
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
O'Higgins
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Colo Colo
3
1
W
07.09.25
Cop
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
2
0
W
11.07.25
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
2
1
W
02.07.25
Cop
Deportes Limache
Cobreloa
3
0
W
10.05.25
Cop
Deportes Limache
Colo Colo
4
1
W
09.02.25
Cop
Deportes Limache
Santiago Wanderers
1
2
L
04.02.25
Cop
Deportes Limache
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
09.04.23
Cop
Deportes Limache
Palestino
1
3
L
19.06.22
Cop
Deportes Limache
Antofagasta
1
2
L
28.03.22
Cop
Deportes Limache
Recoleta
2
1
W
15.06.21
Cop
Deportes Limache
Barnechea
1
4
L
H2H at home: Deportes Limache
25.07.25
H2H
Deportes Limache
Nublense
0
1
L
Last matches: Nublense
01.07.26
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
21.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Cobresal
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Colo Colo
2
6
L
19.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Nublense
Concepción
2
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
16.07.25
Cop
Nublense
Huachipato
1
2
L
07.06.25
Cop
Nublense
Magallanes
1
1
D
10.05.25
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
1
2
L
22.03.25
Cop
Nublense
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
3
L
31.01.25
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
3
2
W
20.11.24
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
17.11.24
Cop
Nublense
Magallanes
1
1
D
24.10.24
Cop
Nublense
D. Puerto Montt
1
1
D
08.07.24
Cop
Nublense
Linares Unido
1
2
L
26.06.24
Cop
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
1
1
D
H2H away: Nublense
25.07.25
H2H
Deportes Limache
Nublense
0
1
W

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 13 0 3 32:13 19 39
W W W W W
2 16 8 3 5 38:23 15 27
D W W L W
3 16 7 6 3 19:11 8 27
W W D W L
4 16 6 7 3 20:19 1 25
W D W D L
5 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
6 16 7 3 6 26:25 1 24
D D L L W
7 16 7 3 6 23:23 0 24
L W D W W
8 16 6 3 7 31:26 5 21
L L L L L
9 16 5 5 6 17:17 0 20
D L W D W
10 16 6 2 8 19:24 -5 20
L L D L L
11 16 4 7 5 24:28 -4 19
D D L W L
12 16 5 4 7 19:24 -5 19
D D D L L
13 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
14 16 5 2 9 16:23 -7 17
W W L W L
15 16 4 4 8 19:23 -4 16
L D D W L
16 16 3 2 11 20:35 -15 11
D L L L W