Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
70.3%
|
2.11 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.01 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Barcelona SC
41 matches
Independiente del Valle
36 matches
| Barcelona SC | Statistic | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 28 |
| 11 | Draws | 3 |
| 15 | Losses | 5 |
| 38 | Goals For | 82 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.28 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.41 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 12.24 | Total Shots | 17.26 |
| 3.95 | Corners | 5.94 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 52.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Independiente del Valle look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Independiente del Valle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 67 points while Barcelona SC sit 6 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independiente del Valle in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente del Valle having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Independiente del Valle. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Barcelona SC are currently 6 in the standings with 39 points from 26 matches. The record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 28:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), with creative support from Tomás Martínez (2 assists), Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Independiente del Valle approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 67 points after 26 outings. With 22 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 64:26, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Matías Perello (6 goals), Emerson Pata (6 goals), Djorkaeff Reasco (5 goals), with creative support from Arón Rodríguez (5 assists), Juan Viacava (4 assists), Djorkaeff Reasco (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 12 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona SC won 3 times, Independiente del Valle won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:23 from Barcelona SC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Barcelona SC
Home
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|