Velez Sarsfield
Match Timeline
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
63.7%
|
1.83 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
2.33 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.2%
|
1.39 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
15.00 |
Probability Distribution
Velez Sarsfield Win 45.1%
Draw 18.7%
Boca Juniors Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velez Sarsfield1.08
Boca Juniors1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velez Sarsfield
WWDLW
34 GF / 20 GA
Boca Juniors
WLDWL
44 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
14
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
11
4.13
Shots on Goal
4.47
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Velez Sarsfield
26 matches
Boca Juniors
35 matches
| Velez Sarsfield | Statistic | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 16 |
| 11 | Draws | 12 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 34 | Goals For | 44 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.13 | Shots On Goal | 4.47 |
| 11.75 | Total Shots | 13.67 |
| 4.42 | Corners | 5.27 |
| 54.3% | Ball Possession | 57.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 4 times, Boca Juniors won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:26 from Velez Sarsfield's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1 / Boca Juniors 4-3-3
H2H summary: Velez Sarsfield wins 4, draws 3, Boca Juniors wins 7