Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Lorient
Le Havre
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lorient
37 matches
Le Havre
34 matches
| Lorient | Statistic | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 6 |
| 13 | Draws | 14 |
| 10 | Losses | 14 |
| 60 | Goals For | 30 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 4.22 | Shots On Goal | 3.59 |
| 12.05 | Total Shots | 11.32 |
| 3.57 | Corners | 4.41 |
| 46.2% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Le Havre. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lorient expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Le Havre in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Le Havre having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Lorient have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 45 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 48:49 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ahmadou Bamba Dieng (10 goals), Pablo Pagis (10 goals), A. Tosin (5 goals), with creative support from A. Kouassi (7 assists), Pablo Pagis (5 assists), Bamo Meïté (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Le Havre sit 14 with 32 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats with a 30:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Soumare (7 goals), R. Ndiaye (4 goals), F. Doucoure (3 goals), with creative support from I. Soumare (5 assists), R. Ndiaye (4 assists), Sofiane Boufal (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Lorient won 4 times, Le Havre won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Lorient's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
Lorient
2
4
5
3
5
0
Lineups
Lorient
Angers
Lorient
UNFP
Lorient
Guingamp
Lorient
Nantes
Lorient
Concarneau
Lorient
Metz
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
Strasbourg
Lorient
Marseille
Lorient
Lyon
Lorient
Paris FC
Lorient
Toulouse
Lorient
Lens
Lorient
Lille
Lorient
Nice
Lorient
Auxerre
Lorient
Nice
Lorient
Angers
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
Paris FC
Le Havre
Oviedo
Le Havre
Ipswich
Le Havre
Laval
Le Havre
RED Star FC 93
Le Havre
Amiens
Le Havre
Marseille
Le Havre
Lille
Le Havre
Metz
Le Havre
Angers
Le Havre
Nice
Le Havre
Auxerre
Le Havre
Paris FC
Le Havre
Lyon
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Nantes
Le Havre
Toulouse
Le Havre
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Lens
Le Havre
Monaco
Lorient
UNFP
Lorient
Nantes
Lorient
Strasbourg
Lorient
Marseille
Lorient
Paris FC
Lorient
Lens
Lorient
Nice
Lorient
Auxerre
Lorient
Angers
Lorient
Paris FC
Lorient
Nantes
Lorient
Metz
Lorient
Lyon
Lorient
Nice
Lorient
Toulouse
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
Monaco
Lorient
Lille
Lorient
Rennes
Le Havre
Oviedo
Le Havre
Ipswich
Le Havre
Lille
Le Havre
Angers
Le Havre
Nice
Le Havre
Paris FC
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Nantes
Le Havre
Lens
Le Havre
Rennes
Le Havre
Lyon
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Toulouse
Le Havre
Auxerre
Le Havre
Marseille
Le Havre
Metz
Le Havre
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Monaco
Le Havre
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Auxerre
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Lorient
Home
|
34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Le Havre
Away
|
34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|