BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Jacy Scaff
Referee: P. Vollkopf
Londrina
Match Timeline
Ceara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Yago Lincoln
Londrina
🔄
46'
Vina ↔ Pedro Henrique
Ceara
🔄
55'
Chumbinho ↔ Joao Tavares
Londrina
🔄
65'
Fernandinho ↔ Giulio
Ceara
🔄
65'
Diego ↔ Lucas Lima
Ceara
🔄
69'
Julio Cesar ↔ Richardson
Ceara
🔄
78'
E. Rodriguez ↔ Caio Rafael
Londrina
🔄
79'
Juan Alano ↔ Joao Gabriel
Ceara
🔄
84'
Lucas Marques ↔ Gilberto
Londrina

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 10.1%
Draw 5%
Ceara Win 84.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.25
Ceara1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
7 GF / 7 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
5 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
0
3
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 4 matches
Ceara Ceara 4 matches
Londrina Statistic Ceara
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 0
7 Goals For 5
7 Goals Against 2
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
4 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 0
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 4.25
9.5 Total Shots 13
5 Corners 4.5
43.3% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ceara's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ceara. Ceara carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 8 points while Londrina sit 13 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Londrina Analysis

So far, Londrina have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 4 points from 4 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 7:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Bruno Santos (3 goals), Andre Luiz (1 goals), E. Rodriguez (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (1 assists), Iago (1 assists), Vitinho Mota (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ceara Analysis

Placed 2 with 8 points from 4 outings, Ceara continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 5:2 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juan Alano (2 goals), Fernandinho (1 goals), Sanchez (1 goals), with creative support from Giulio (1 assists), Joao Gabriel (1 assists), Wendel Silva (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 1 times, Ceara won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:13 from Londrina's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-2-3-1 / Ceara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 1, draws 2, Ceara wins 5
Stats
Londrina Londrina
Ceara Ceara
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
2
14 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 5
8 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 8
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
337 Total passes 341
267 Passes accurate 276
0.98 expected_goals 0.76
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Londrina
Formation
Ceara
Mauricio Kozlinski
Mauricio Kozlinski
Weverton
Weverton
Yago Lincoln
Yago Lincoln
Wallace
Wallace
Kevyn
Kevyn
Lucas Marques
Lucas Marques
Andre Luiz
Andre Luiz
E. Rodriguez
E. Rodriguez
Chumbinho
Chumbinho
Iago Teles
Iago Teles
Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos
Richard
Richard
Alex Silva
Alex Silva
Eder
Eder
Luiz Otavio
Luiz Otavio
Fernando
Fernando
Diego
Diego
Julio Cesar
Julio Cesar
Juan Alano
Juan Alano
Vina
Vina
Fernandinho
Fernandinho
Wendel Silva
Wendel Silva
Londrina 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
Mauricio Kozlinski
G
2
Weverton
D
3
Yago Lincoln
🟨 6'
D
4
Wallace
D
33
Kevyn
D
8
Lucas Marques
↓ 84'
M
5
Andre Luiz
M
19
E. Rodriguez
↓ 78'
M
53
Chumbinho
↓ 55'
11
Iago Teles
M
9
Bruno Santos
F
Substitutes
1
Luan Ribeiro
G
18
Paulinho Moccelin
F
15
Gabriel Lacerda
D
55
Caio Rafael
↑ 78'
F
32
Joao Tavares
↑ 55'
M
77
Juninho
F
10
Gilberto
↑ 84'
F
34
Heron
D
13
Andre Dhominique
D
6
Rafael Monteiro
D
28
Caio Maia
20
Fabiano
M
Ceara 4-2-3-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
Richard
G
21
Alex Silva
D
33
Eder
D
4
Luiz Otavio
D
17
Fernando
D
20
Diego
↓ 65'
M
18
Julio Cesar
↓ 69'
M
10
Juan Alano
↓ 79'
M
29
Vina
↓ 46'
M
11
Fernandinho
↓ 65'
M
9
Wendel Silva
F
Substitutes
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
7
Pedro Henrique
↑ 46'
F
2
R. Ramos
12
Sanchez
D
30
Gustavo Prado
M
35
Giulio
↑ 65'
F
40
Melk
M
26
Richardson
↑ 69'
M
13
Luiz Otavio
D
31
Lucas Lima
↑ 65'
M
63
Gilmar
D
81
Joao Gabriel
↑ 79'
M
Last matches: Londrina
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
Last matches: Ceara
22.07.26
Ser
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Ceara
America Mineiro
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Athletic Club
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Goias
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Juventude
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
1
1
D
H2H: Londrina vs Ceara
19.04.26
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
07.09.23
H2H
Ceara
Londrina
3
1
L
24.05.23
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
1
3
L
21.02.18
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
09.09.17
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
3
2
W
03.06.17
H2H
Ceara
Londrina
1
0
L
17.09.16
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
1
1
D
08.06.16
H2H
Ceara
Londrina
1
0
L
Last matches: Londrina
18.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
H2H at home: Londrina
19.04.26
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
24.05.23
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
1
3
L
21.02.18
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
09.09.17
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
3
2
W
17.09.16
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
1
1
D
Last matches: Ceara
17.07.26
Ser
Ceara
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Goias
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Juventude
0
2
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
H2H away: Ceara
19.04.26
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
24.05.23
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
1
3
W
21.02.18
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
W
09.09.17
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
3
2
L
17.09.16
H2H
Londrina
Ceara
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18
Ceara Away
19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
Promotion
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