BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
17.05.2026 14:00
Soevereinstadion
Referee: W. De Cremer
Lommel United
Match Timeline
Dender
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Lautaro López
Lommel United
34'
D. Acquah · Assist: M. Berte
Dender
🟨
40'
Luc De Fougerolles
Dender
🟨
45'
Mohamed Berte
Dender
🔄
53'
J. van Duiven ↔ Z. Vancsa
Lommel United
🔄
54'
L. Lopez ↔ M. Salah
Lommel United
55'
R. Seuntjens
Lommel United
🔄
61'
R. Kvet ↔ R. Oratmangoen
Dender
🔄
61'
D. Acquah ↔ N. Mbamba
Dender
🔄
61'
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui ↔ A. Daali
Dender
🔄
62'
L. De Fougerolles ↔ B. De Kerf
Dender
🔄
76'
L. Marijnissen ↔ B. Nsimba
Dender
🔄
81'
J. Tolinsson ↔ T. Eyoma
Lommel United
83'
M. Berte · Assist: A. Daali
Dender
86'
R. Seuntjens · Assist: M. Salah
Lommel United
🟨
90+5'
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​
Dender
90'
Z. Vancsa
Lommel United

Lommel United vs Dender Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 1.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
1.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lommel United Win 62.2%
Draw 16.2%
Dender Win 21.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lommel United2.34
Dender0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lommel United Lommel United
WWDLW
11 GF / 3 GA
Dender Dender
WLDWL
31 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
3
BTTS Yes
22
4
Over 2.5
20
4.75
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lommel United Lommel United 4 matches
Dender Dender 36 matches
Lommel United Statistic Dender
4 Wins 5
0 Draws 10
0 Losses 21
11 Goals For 31
3 Goals Against 62
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
3 BTTS Yes 22
4 Over 1.5 26
4 Over 2.5 20
2 Over 3.5 10
1 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 12
4.75 Shots On Goal 3.78
9.25 Total Shots 10.78
3.25 Corners 3.69
43.5% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Lommel United won 3 times, Dender won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from Lommel United's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.8%)
Predicted formations: Lommel United 4-4-2 / Dender 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lommel United wins 3, draws 3, Dender wins 2

Standings

Pro League , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 13 9 14 53:53 0 48
W W W W W
2 36 10 11 15 53:58 -5 41
L L W W W
3 36 7 13 16 35:50 -15 34
W L L L L
4 36 5 10 21 31:62 -31 25
D L L W L
Relegation Playoffs