COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
24.07.2026 23:10
Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana
Referee: Carlos Ortega
Llaneros
Match Timeline
Deportivo Pereira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
47'
Jhojan Escobar
Llaneros
54'
N. Ospina · Assist: Jhon Vasquez
Llaneros
🔄
64'
S. Acosta ↔ Y. Quinones
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
64'
J. Montoya ↔ M. Aguirre
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
67'
J. Escobar Salcedo ↔ J. Medranda
Llaneros
🔄
67'
L. Miranda ↔ D. Mantilla
Llaneros
🟨
68'
Santiago Aguilar
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
72'
Francisco Meza
Llaneros
🟨
74'
Marco Pérez
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
76'
J. Monroy ↔ F. Delgado
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
76'
M. Perez ↔ M. Diaz
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
79'
Santiago Aguilar
Deportivo Pereira
🟥
79'
Santiago Aguilar
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
82'
D. Quintero ↔ J. Pertuz
Llaneros
🔄
83'
Jhon Vasquez ↔ J. Ramirez
Llaneros
🟨
84'
Juan Ramirez
Llaneros
🟨
90+6'
Walmer Pacheco
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
90+2'
N. Ospina ↔ E. Pardo
Llaneros

Llaneros vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.7%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Llaneros Win 82.7%
Draw 7.5%
Deportivo Pereira Win 9.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Llaneros1.18
Deportivo Pereira0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Llaneros Llaneros
WWDLW
17 GF / 21 GA
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WLDWL
15 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
9
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
8
3.21
Shots on Goal
3.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Llaneros Llaneros 20 matches
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 matches
Llaneros Statistic Deportivo Pereira
4 Wins 1
10 Draws 7
6 Losses 11
17 Goals For 15
21 Goals Against 32
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
9 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 10
3.21 Shots On Goal 3.37
10.16 Total Shots 9.05
5.11 Corners 2.42
48.6% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Pereira. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Pereira arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Llaneros arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 14 with 22 points compared to Deportivo Pereira in 20 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Llaneros expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportivo Pereira in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Pereira having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Llaneros Analysis

With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 14, Llaneros still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

With 10 points from 19 games and a place of 20, Deportivo Pereira still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 15:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Llaneros won 5 times, Deportivo Pereira won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Llaneros's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Llaneros 4-1-4-1 / Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Llaneros wins 5, draws 5, Deportivo Pereira wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W D L D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W D W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W W L L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L W W D D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L D L W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification