ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
16.09.2026 18:45
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster Harriers vs Gateshead Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.3%
1.68
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.79
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Kidderminster Harriers Win 80.3%
Draw 7%
Gateshead Win 12.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kidderminster Harriers2.05
Gateshead1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers
WWDLW
24 GF / 7 GA
Gateshead Gateshead
WLDWL
18 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
4
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 11 matches
Gateshead Gateshead 13 matches
Kidderminster Harriers Statistic Gateshead
7 Wins 2
3 Draws 4
1 Losses 7
24 Goals For 18
7 Goals Against 24
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
4 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kidderminster Harriers's more proactive style and Gateshead's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Gateshead arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Kidderminster Harriers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 11 points compared to Gateshead in 22 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gateshead having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gateshead.

Kidderminster Harriers Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers sit 8 with 11 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 10:7 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Gateshead Analysis

Gateshead sit 22 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Kidderminster Harriers won 3 times, Gateshead won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:24 from Kidderminster Harriers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: Kidderminster Harriers wins 3, draws 3, Gateshead wins 8

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation