COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
21.10.2026 23:15
Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana

Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Llaneros Win 37.1%
Draw 18.7%
Deportivo Cali Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Llaneros0.91
Deportivo Cali1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Llaneros Llaneros
WWDLW
30 GF / 33 GA
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
WLDWL
37 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
15
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
9
3.52
Shots on Goal
4.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Llaneros Llaneros 30 matches
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 31 matches
Llaneros Statistic Deportivo Cali
8 Wins 13
12 Draws 10
10 Losses 8
30 Goals For 37
33 Goals Against 24
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
15 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 8
3.52 Shots On Goal 4.21
10.17 Total Shots 12.45
4.93 Corners 4.38
45.8% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Deportivo Cali's more proactive style and Llaneros's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Cali. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Llaneros expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Deportivo Cali in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cali having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Llaneros Analysis

Llaneros approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 22 points from 19 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 17:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jhon Vásquez (6 goals), Neider Ospina (4 goals), Carlos Cortés (3 goals), with creative support from Neider Ospina (4 assists), Juan Ramirez (3 assists), Jhon Vásquez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

So far, Deportivo Cali have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 27 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 20:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Steven Rodríguez (9 goals), Avilés Hurtado (5 goals), Johan Martínez (3 goals), with creative support from Johan Martínez (5 assists), Steven Rodríguez (2 assists), Eduard Bello (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Llaneros won 1 times, Deportivo Cali won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Llaneros's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Llaneros 5-3-2 / Deportivo Cali 3-4-3
H2H summary: Llaneros wins 1, draws 1, Deportivo Cali wins 1

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W D D L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W D L W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L D D D W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification