NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Åråsen
Referee: S. T. Sinnes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lillestrom Win 88%
Draw 6%
KFUM Oslo Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lillestrom1.92
KFUM Oslo1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WWDLW
49 GF / 35 GA
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
WLDWL
21 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
13
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
9
4.58
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lillestrom Lillestrom 25 matches
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 20 matches
Lillestrom Statistic KFUM Oslo
11 Wins 4
4 Draws 6
10 Losses 10
49 Goals For 21
35 Goals Against 37
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
13 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 9
12 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 6
4.58 Shots On Goal 4.17
13.17 Total Shots 10.83
5.25 Corners 4.17
52.2% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Lillestrom's more proactive style and KFUM Oslo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KFUM Oslo. Lillestrom arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 22 points compared to KFUM Oslo in 14 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and KFUM Oslo in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KFUM Oslo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Lillestrom Analysis

With 22 points from 12 games and a place of 4, Lillestrom still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 19:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (3 goals), Salieu Drammeh (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Vá (5 assists), Salieu Drammeh (1 assists), Thomas Lehne Olsen (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

KFUM Oslo Analysis

With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 14, KFUM Oslo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 12:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Magnus Grødem (2 goals), Teodor Haltvik (2 goals), Simen Hestnes (1 goals), with creative support from Jonas Lange Hjorth (2 assists), Simen Hestnes (1 assists), Magnus Wolff Eikrem (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 8 times, KFUM Oslo won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Lillestrom's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Lillestrom 4-2-3-1 / KFUM Oslo 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Lillestrom 2, KFUM Oslo 5
H2H summary: Lillestrom wins 8, draws 1, KFUM Oslo wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen